Mar 16, 2013; Las Vegas, NV, USA; New Mexico Lobos cheerleaders perform during the game against the UNLV Rebels in the championship game of the Mountain West tournament at the Thomas & Mack Center. The Lobos defeated the Rebels 63-56. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction 2/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UNLV Runnin Rebels Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records 10-11 10-11
Where Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA
When Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Time 11:00 PM EST
TV FS1

The UNLV Rebels and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Save Mart Center. Here’s a UNLV vs Fresno State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UNLV vs Fresno State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The Rebels didn’t start out the year so well, winning just four of their first 10 games out of the gate. UNLV won six of the next eight over Fresno State. La Sierra, Air Force, Boise State, San Jose State and Utah State, though. After losses to San Diego State, New Mexico and Nevada in the next three, the Rebels were left with a sub-.500 record of 10-11 in the books across 21 games.

In the Nevada matchup back on Friday the Rebels were in the locker room at the break with a 33-28 deficit. UNLV was outscored further from there in a 56-48 second-half run and took the loss in the end 89-76. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn was the leading team scorer with 26 points, three rebounds and three assists. Naas Cunningham put up 13 points with four rebounds and two assists.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

Over on the Fresno State side, they opened up the year on a pretty solid 6-2 run. The next six were losses to Cal State Bakersfield, Arkansas, Cal State Northridge, UNLV, Utah State and Nevada, though. It’s been a 4-3 run since then featuring wins over San Jose State, Colorado State, Wyoming and Air Force for the Bulldogs. That gives the team a 10-11 record through 21 games as well this year.

Matched up against Air Force over the weekend the Bulldogs went into the second half sporting a five-point edge 44-39. Fresno State kept it up in the second half, notching a 35-23 run along the way to a 79-62 victory on the road in the end. Tops in scoring during the win was David Douglas with 21 points and two rebounds. Zaon Collins had 15 points with five boards and five assists as well.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 3, 2026

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won four of its last five night games at Save Mart Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UNLV has lost each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Fresno State has won the first half in three of its last four night games against UNLV at Save Mart Center.

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

  • Fresno State has lost 18 of its last 22 night games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • UNLV has won four of its last five road games against Fresno State.
  • The road team has won the first half in three of Fresno State’s last four games.

UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction

I’ll lean toward Fresno State but you could argue it either way. We should have a pretty good matchup here. The Bulldogs got past a struggling Air Force team pretty easily this past weekend, shooting 46.7 percent from the field with 41.4 percent (12-of-29) from outside and 15 team assists. Fresno State gave up just 39 percent shooting on defense in the victory. The Bulldogs have been spotty in the record columns lately on a 4-3 clip, but they’ve hit 70 or more points in four of those seven games.

These teams last met up back on December 20 in an 84-72 road loss for the Bulldogs. In that one Fresno State gave up 57.1 percent shooting and fell victim to a nice performance at the line (19-of-22 for 86.4 percent) by the Rebels. The Bulldogs have a few things to tighten up during this home rematch but if all goes well I think they’ll be able to power out a cover.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -1.5

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