Nov 4, 2024; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Duke Blue Devils guard Caleb Foster (1) guards against Maine Black Bears guard Jaden Clayton (3) at Cameron Indoor Stadium in the second half. Mandatory Credit: Zachary Taft-Imagn Images
Zachary Taft-Imagn Images

UMBC vs Maine Prediction 2/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UMBC Retrievers Maine Black Bears
Team Records 14-8 6-19
Where Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium, Orono, ME
When Thursday, February 12, 2026
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a UMBC vs Maine prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, February 12th at Skip Chappelle Court in Orono, Maine. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers are 14-8 (7-2) this season after they defeated Binghamton by a score of 79-62 in their last game. UMBC led 39-26 at halftime and they added 40 points in the second half for the win. The Retrievers shot 44% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 74% on free throws in the game. DJ Armstrong Jr led UMBC with 17 points and three rebounds, while Josh Odunowo added 15 points and eight rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, UMBC defeated Albany by a score of 68-65, but lost to Vermont by a score of 64-55 before that. The Retrievers have scored 74.6 points per game with 34.5 rebounds and 12.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.5 points against per game this season. Jah’Likai King is averaging 14.0 points and 3.8 rebounds per game, while DJ Armstrong Jr is averaging 13.4 points and 2.9 rebounds per game for the Retrievers. UMBC is shooting 46.6% from the field, 73.5% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this season. 

Maine Black Bears Betting Preview

The Maine Black Bears are 6-19 (4-6) this year after they lost to Bryant by a score of 73-67 in their last game. Maine trailed 32-27 at halftime, but they did score 40 points in the second half in the loss. The Black Bears shot 46% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 60% on free throws in the game. Logan Carey led Maine with 16 points and four assists, while Mekhi Gray added 15 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Maine defeated Vermont by a score of 76-70, but lost to UMass-Lowell by a score of 91-77 before that. The Black Bears have scored 62.8 points per game with 28.0 rebounds and 12.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.1 points against per game this season. TJ Biel is averaging 12.1 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, while Logan Carey is averaging 9.2 points and 2.7 rebounds per game for the Black Bears. Maine is shooting 44.8% from the field, 64.3% on free throws, and 32.0% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Maine Black Bears will win

  • Maine has won each of its last 15 night games at Skip Chappelle Court at Memorial Gym against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UMBC has lost 17 of its last 18 road games following a home win.
  • UMBC has lost the first half in six of its last eight road games against the America East Conference.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

  • UMBC has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Maine has lost 20 of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-six of UMBC’s last 29 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Each of Maine’s last four games have produced a total of 140+ points.

UMBC vs Maine Prediction 

UMBC comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed 65 points or fewer in four straight. The Retrievers are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored at least 79 in three of their last five. Maine has lost two of their last three games and they are shooting 45% from the field. The Black Bears are a very low scoring team and they only average 28 rebounds per game, but they are 3-0 in their last three home games. I don’t love it, but take the points with Maine here.

David Racey's Pick: Maine +3.5

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