UCF vs TCU Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The UCF Knights are visiting the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday, Match 1st at the Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction. We will examine:

The TCU Horned Frogs recent form and player performance

The UCF Knights recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving TCU Horned Frogs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving UCF Knights

Recent betting trends in games played between UCF Knightsand TCU Horned Frogs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs game

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Big 12. TCU is coming off a 55-73 loss in West Virginia. The Horned Frogs are 10-18 against the spread, and 9-18-1 in over/under, while having a 13-2 home record.

Offensively, TCU is averaging 67.6 points per game, which ranks 327th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.4 points per game (74th). The Horned Frogs shoot with 42.1% from the field (317th), and with 30.3% from beyond the arc (341st). The Horned Frogs shoot with 645.3% from the free-throw line (350th), and are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game (255th).

Noah Reynolds leads TCU in scoring with an average of 12.3 points 3.1 assists, while Vesean Allette adds 11.6 points, 4 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists per game.

UCF Knights Preview

The UCF Knights have a 15-13 record this season and are sitting on the 14th place of the Big 12. UCF is coming off an 80-76 win over Kansas State. The Knights are 12-16 against the spread, and 16-10-2 in over/under, while having a 2-6 road record. 

Offensively, UCF is averaging 78.9 points per game, which is 61st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 80.1 points per game (348th). The Knights shoot with 42.3% from the field (312th), and with 33.1% from beyond the arc (241st). The Knights shoot with 77.7% from the free-throw line (23rd), and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (138th).

Keyshawn Hall leads UCF in scoring with an average of 19.1 points and a team-high 6.8 rebounds, while Darius Johnson adds 15.3 points, 3.2 rebounds and a team-high 4.2 assists per game.  

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won each of its last nine games at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
• UCF has lost each of its last five road games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of UCF’s last four games.

Why the UCF Knights will win

• TCU has lost three of its last four day games.
• TCU has lost the first half in five of its last six day games against the Big 12 Conference.

UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction

UCF is 2-1 in their three meetings against TCU, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UCF won 85-58 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, TCU is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have similar records this season, but TCU has been extremely good at home, while UCF is terrible on the road. TCU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games, and are back home after a two-game road trip, where they lost both games. UCF has back-to-back wins, but both have been at home, and they are 0-3 against the spread in their last 3 road games. I expect TCU to seek revenge for that embarrassing 27-point defeat in UCF back in January, so I like them to win and cover in today’s matchup at home. Take the TCU Horned Frogs and the points at home.