Jan 28, 2026; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Houston Cougars guard Kingston Flemings (4) brings the ball up court during the game at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

UCF vs Houston Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UCF Golden Knights Houston Cougars
Team Records 17-4 19-2
Spread +16.5 -112 -16.5 -108
Moneyline +950 -1650
Total Over 147.5 (-115) Under 147.5 (-105)
Where Fertitta Center, Houston, TX
When Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV FS1

The UCF Knights and Houston Cougars meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at the Fertitta Center. Here’s a UCF vs Houston Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Houston Pick.

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights beat Texas Tech and Arizona State, and they play Cincinnati next. UCF has won 11 of its last 14 games.

The UCF Knights are averaging 84.2 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 77.1 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Riley Kugel is averaging 14.8 points and 2.8 assists, while Themus Fulks is averaging 14.2 points and 3.1 rebounds. Jordan Burks is the third double-digit scorer and Jamichael Stillwell is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The UCF Knights are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.5 percent from the free throw line. The UCF Knights are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars beat TCU and Cincinnati, and they play BYU next. Houston has won 19 of its last 21 games.

The Houston Cougars are averaging 79 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 61.7 points on 39.7 percent shooting. Kingston Flemings is averaging 17 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Emanuel Sharp is averaging 16.3 points and 2.9 rebounds. Milos Uzan is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Cenac Jr. is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Houston Cougars are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Cougars are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

  • Houston has won each of its last 62 night games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UCF has lost 14 of its last 15 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • UCF has lost the first half in each of its last four games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • UCF has won nine of its last 11 night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-three of Houston’s last 24 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Fertitta Center have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
  • Each of UCF’s last eight Wednesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Houston ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.5).
  • Houston is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
  • UCF ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.1%).
  • UCF ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.1).

UCF vs Houston Prediction

I considered UCF and the points, as the Knights have been disrespected by oddsmakers all year and have many quality wins. UCF has shown it can bang with the big boys. The problem is because of that success, it’s not going to catch Houston by surprise. Kelvin Sampson will have his guys ready, and when Houston plays at its best, it’s one of the best teams in the league. I question if UCF can defend at a high level on the road in a tough environment. I’m going to lay the points with Houston at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston -14.5

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