UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 10-16 overall record and a 6-8 record in the Big West. They are coming off a 79-73 home win against UC Irvine and their previous three games were a 67-58 road loss against UC Davis, a 97-96 home loss against Cal State Northridge and a 94-87 road win against UC Riverside.

Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81 points per game, while allowing 85.5 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 43% from the field and grab 37.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.4 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.8 steals per game defensively.

Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 20.2 points per game, while shooting with 44% from the field and 87.2% from the free throw line, and is also the team’s leading rebounder with 6 per game. Peter Bandelj leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Preview

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos have a 17-8 overall record and a 10-4 record in the Big West. They are coming off a 76-68 road win against UC Riverside and their previous three games were an 84-79 home win against UC Irvine, an 85-75 road loss against UC Davis and an 83-69 home win against Cal State Fullerton.

Offensively, UC Santa Barbara averages 79.2 points per game, while allowing 72.4 points per game defensively. The Gauchos shoot with 48% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15 assists per game. They average 2.3 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

Aidan Mahaney leads UC Santa Barbara in scoring, with an average of 14.8 points per game, while shooting with 44.7% from the field and 82.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.9 assists. Zion Sensley is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.5 per game.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: February 14, 2026

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• The home team has won three of UC Santa Barbara’s last four games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of UC Santa Barbara’s last four games.

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

• UC Santa Barbara has won each of its last 17 games against Cal Poly.
• Cal Poly has lost 30 of its last 36 day games against Conference opponents.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last seven home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UC Santa Barbara’s last eight day games have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
• Each of the last eight day games between UC Santa Barbara and Cal Poly have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cal Poly ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.3).
• Cal Poly ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.8).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.1).

UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction

In this UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction, UC Santa Barbara is coming as -4.5 road favorites. UC Santa Barbara has been the better team this season and have been in very good form lately, with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games and 6-2 against the spread. On the flip side, Cal Poly is 3-5 in its last 8 games but 4-1 against the spread, while having the 7th-worse defense in the entire nation. The value here lies with the road team, so take UC Santa Barbara and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UC Santa Barbara -4.5