Troy vs Southern Mississippi Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Preview

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have a 13-14 overall record and a 6-8 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off an 84-78 home win against South Alabama and their previous three games were a 66-65 home win against Kent State, an 81-77 road loss against Marshall and a 73-65 home win against James Madison.

Offensively, Southern Miss averages 73.5 points per game, while allowing 73.6 points per game defensively. The Golden Eagles shoot with 45% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.4 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Tylik Weeks leads Southern Miss in scoring, with an average of 17.9 points per game, while shooting with 45.8% from the field and 80.7% from the free throw line. Djahi Binet is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.7 per game. Dylan Brumfield leads the team in assists with 2.8 per game.

Troy Trojans Preview

The Troy Trojans have a 17-9 overall record and a 9-4 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 74-62 road loss against Texas State and their previous three games were a 79-69 home win against Akron, a 74-63 road win against Georgia State and a 66-44 home win against Appalachian State.

Offensively, Troy averages 82.3 points per game, while allowing 74.9 points per game defensively. The Trojans shoot with 45% from the field and grab 38.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.3 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.

Victor Valdes leads Troy in scoring, with an average of 15.7 points per game, while shooting with 40.1% from the field and 75.3% from the free throw line. Thomas Dowd is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.3 per game. Cooper Campbell leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.

Troy Trojans @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: February 14, 2026

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• The home team has won nine of Southern Miss’ last 11 games.
• Troy has lost three of its last four games against Conference opponents.
• Southern Miss has won the first half in three of its last four games.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Southern Miss has lost seven of its last eight games against Conference opponents.
• Troy has won four of its last five games against Southern Miss.
• Troy has won the first half in each of its last five games against Southern Miss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy’s last four games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
• Six of the last seven games between Troy and Southern Miss have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern Miss ranks T39th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.0).
• Southern Miss ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.3).
• Troy ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.8).
• Troy ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.9%).

Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction

In this Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Troy is coming as -4.5 road favorites. Troy has been the far better team this season but have not been in the best form lately, as they are 2-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 5 games. Southern Miss has been struggling with a 2-7 record in its last 9 games and 3-7 against the spread, so I cannot pick a side in this matchup. Both teams are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games combined, as Troy has the 37th-best offense in the entire nation. Their previous meeting earlier this season was also a high-scoring one, so go with the over 144.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 144.5