Feb 3, 2026; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns center Matas Vokietaitis (8) shoots a layup during the first half against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images
Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images

Texas vs Missouri Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Texas Longhorns Missouri Tigers
Team Records 15-9 17-7
Spread +2.5 -115 -2.5 -105
Moneyline +120 -142
Total Over 150.5 (-110) Under 150.5 (-110)
Where Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
When Saturday, February 14, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV ESPN2

The Texas Longhorns and the Missouri Tigers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Mizzou Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers prediction.

Texas Longhorns Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to add on to their 79-68 win over Ole Miss last time out to sit at 15-9 this season. After this game, Texas will head home for a game against LSU.

Longhorns Win 3 In A Row

Matas Vokietaitis leads the Longhorns in scoring with 15.3 PPG along with 6.5 RPG while Dailyn Swain has 15.1 PPG with 6.5 RPG and a team-high 3.3 APG to lead the Longhorns in assists. Tramon Mark has 10.4 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.4 APG and Jordan Pope has 12.7 PPG with 2 RPG and 2.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Texas up to this point in the year. Lassina Traore also has a team-high 7 RPG to lead the Longhorns in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 86.7 PPG on 49.5% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 71.6% from the foul line so far this season.

Missouri Tigers Recap

The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 86-85 win over Texas A&M last time out to sit at 17-7 on the year. After this game, Missouri will take on Vanderbilt at home.

Tigers Win 3 Straight As Well

Mark Mitchell leads the Tigers in scoring and rebounding with 17.7 PPG and 5.5 RPG along with 3.2 APG while Jayden Stone has 15.4 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 2.5 APG. Jacob Crews has 11.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG. Anthony Robinson II also has 10 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Tigers in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri up to this point in the year. As a team, Missouri is averaging 81.1 PPG on 50.2% shooting from the field, 35.5% from three and 68.4% from the foul line this season.

Texas Longhorns @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: February 14, 2026


Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last 27 games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas has lost each of its last five road games following a home win.
  • Missouri has won the first half in each of its last six night games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won four of its last five games.
  • Texas has won the first half in five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas’ last seven road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
  • Seven of Missouri’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Mizzou Arena have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
  • Missouri ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (55.8%).
  • Texas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (20.0).
  • Texas ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.8).

Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers at home here. I just haven’t felt like I can consistently trust this Texas team at home, as Missouri’s only dropped one at home all year because this is one of the more solid home court edges in the SEC. Texas has been solid in their own right at times, but most of those games have come at home and I think on the road, the Longhorns have some issues in this environment. Give me Missouri.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Missouri -1

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