Rays vs Yankees Prediction 9/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 23rd at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 96-61 this year after they split the doubleheader on Tuesday by scores of 0-2 and 6-1. In game two, Tampa Bay scored the first four runs and cruised to the relatively easy win. The Rays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-5 with four RBIs. Rasmussen allowed one hit and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Kelly picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Red Sox and all three against the Athletics. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 713 runs with a .258 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 41 home runs and 97 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ian Seymour, who is 9-7 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 127.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 90-67 this season after they lost game two on Tuesday by a score of 1-6. In game two, New York struggled to get a hit, but they finally scored in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Yankees recorded three hits and they were led by Lombard Jr, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the game. Fried allowed six hits and four earned runs over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Yarbrough allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 716 runs with a .234 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 39 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 17 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 9-9 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 121.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 12 games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Rays have lost nine of their last 11 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a win.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 night games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rays’ last four road games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in 20 of his last 22 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rays.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last five home games.
• George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Richie Palacios has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after clinching the AL East with a win on Tuesday night and they have won three of their last four games. The Rays are 41-35 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 43-33 at home. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have scored just three total runs in their last two games. The Yankees are starting Cole, who has allowed 2, 5, 4, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Seymour has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 7