Texas Tech vs Florida Prediction 3/29/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 29, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Auburn or Michigan State in the Final Four.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (28-8, 18-18 ATS) ended the regular season with three straight wins to secure the No. 2 seed for the Big 12 tournament and skipped the opening two rounds. The Red Raiders edged out Baylor in the quarterfinals but lost the next game to Arizona. Texas Tech didn’t have trouble with UNC Wilmington and Drake in the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament, while they needed overtime to defeat Arkansas in the Sweet 16.

Texas Tech averages 80.9 PPG (29th) and allows 68.0 PPG (59th). The Red Raiders are 100th in rebounds (37.1) and 34th in assists (16.5). JT Toppin leads the team with 18.2 PPG, 9.3 RPG, and 1.5 BPG. Darrion Williams follows him with 14.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 3.7 APG, and 1.2 SPG, while Chance McMillian chips in 14.2 PPG and 4.1 RPG.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators (33-4, 27-10 ATS) have been tested only once over the past month, and it was against UConn in the second round of the NCAA Tournament when the Gators won 77-75. Florida beat Missouri, Alabama, and Tennessee without issues to claim the SEC Title and then opened the Big Dance with an easy win over Norfolk State. In the Sweet 16, Maryland was a no-match to Florida as the Gators secured a comfortable 87-71 victory.

Florida is averaging 85.5 PPG (4th) and is allowing 69.4 PPG (89th). The Gators are getting 41.9 RPG (5th) and dishing out 15.9 APG (56th). Walter Clayton Jr. is the team’s top performer with 17.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 4.2 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Alijah Martin has 14.6 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.3 APG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG, while Will Richard contributes 13.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and 1.6 SPG.

Why Florida will beat Texas Tech

• Florida has won each of its last 11 games played at neutral venues.
• Texas Tech has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Texas Tech has lost the first half in six of its last eight day games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas Tech’s last nine day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
• Nine of Florida’s last 10 games have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.3).
• Florida ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).
• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+21.4).
• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).

Texas Tech vs Florida Prediction

These teams have met only once, and it was back in 2018 when Texas Tech won 69-66. Florida proved to be one of the most dominant teams in the NCAA tournament so far and is on a nine-game winning streak, so the Red Radiers will have a mountain to climb in order to advance to the Final Four. The Gators are excellent against the spread this year, and they have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games. I believe that reaching the Elite 8 is the maximum for Texas Tech, and it has a slim chance to participate in the Final Four. Florida is better offensively and are in top form, so I am backing the Gators to win and cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Florida -6.5