Texas Tech players JT Toppin and LeJuan Watts look on after a play against BYU during a Big 12 Conference men's basketball game, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026, in United Supermarkets Arena.
Nathan Giese/Avalanche-Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Texas Tech Red Raiders Baylor Bears
Team Records 14-4 11-6
Spread -1.5 -115 +1.5 -105
Moneyline -130 +110
Total Over 155.5 (-112) Under 155.5 (-108)
Where Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
When Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV Peacock

In this article we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Baylor prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, January 20th at Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 14-4 (4-1) this year after they defeated BYU by a score of 84-71 in their last game. Texas Tech led 32-31 at halftime and they scored 52 points in the second half to get the win. The Red Raiders shot 46% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. JT Toppin led Texas Tech with 27 points and 13 rebounds, while Christian Anderson added 22 points and seven assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Texas Tech defeated Utah by a score of 88-74 and Colorado by a score of 73-71. The Red Raiders have scored 83.4 points per game with 38.6 rebounds and 16.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.1 points against per game this season. JT Toppin is averaging 21.6 points and 11.2 rebounds per game, while Christian Anderson is averaging 19.8 points and 7.4 assists per game for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is shooting 46.7% from the field, 69.9% on free throws, and 37.8% on three pointers this year. 

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 11-6 (1-4) this season after they lost to Kansas by a score of 80-62 in their last game. Baylor trailed 43-37 at halftime and only scored 25 points in the second half for the lopsided loss. The Bears shot 36% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Cameron Carr led Baylor with 24 points and four rebounds, while Tounde Yessoufou added 20 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Baylor defeated Oklahoma State by a score of 94-79, but lost to Houston by a score of 77-55 before that. The Bears have scored 87.1 points per game with 40.2 rebounds and 16.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.9 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 20.5 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 48.9% from the field, 73.0% on free throws, and 36.7% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Baylor has won each of its last six Tuesday home games against Conference opponents.
  • Texas Tech has lost each of its last five Tuesday night road games as an AP-ranked team.
  • Texas Tech has lost the first half in three of its last four January night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last 11 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Baylor has lost each of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost the first half in each of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Fourteen of Baylor’s last 15 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
  • Each of Texas Tech’s last seven road games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Baylor ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.23).
  • Baylor ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.1).
  • Texas Tech ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (37.8%).
  • Texas Tech ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (29.2).

Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction 

Texas Tech rolls into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored at least 84 points in three of their last five games. The Red Raiders are shooting 47% from the field, but they have had some struggles in their last two road games. Baylor has lost four of their last five games and they have scored 63 points or fewer in four of their last five. The Bears are shooting 49% from the field, but their defense has not been good. This line seems a bit off to me, as Baylor has really struggled, but I will take Texas Tech to get the win regardless.

David Racey's Pick: Texas Tech ML

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