Texas State vs Troy Prediction 12/31/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Troy Trojans meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Trojan Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans prediction.

Texas State Bobcats Recap

The Texas State Bobcats come into this game looking to add on to their 67-65 win over South Alabama last time out to sit at 8-6 this season. After this game, Texas State will head on the road for a game against Louisiana-Monroe.

Bobcats Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Mark Drone has 13.1 PPG along with 2.5 RPG and 2.4 APG to lead Texas State in scoring while DJ Hall has 12.3 PPG with 7.1 RPG to lead Texas State in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for Texas State so far this season. Kaden Gumbs has 8 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 4 APG and 2 SPG to lead the Bobcats in assists and steals and Dimp Pernell also has 8.8 PPG as well this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 73.7 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 75% from the foul line this season.

Troy Trojans Recap

The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to add on to their 70-63 win over Marshall last time out to sit at 8-5 this season. After this game, Troy will take on South Alabama in a game at home.

Trojans Win 3 In A Row

Victor Valdes leads the Trojans in scoring with 17.7 PPG along with 4 RPG and 4.2 APG while Thomas Dowd has 15.2 PPG with 10.3 RPG to lead the Trojans in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game. Cooper Campbell has 14.3 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 4.9 APG to lead Troy in assists while Theo Seng has 13.2 PPG with 5.9 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Troy so far this season. Cobi Campbell also has 9.2 PPG as well this season for Troy. As a team, Troy is averaging 87.5 PPG on 45.1% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 73.8% from the foul line this season.

Texas State Bobcats @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: December 31, 2025

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won each of its last seven games against Conference opponents.
• Texas State has lost four of its last five road day games against Conference opponents.
• Troy has won the first half in 16 of its last 17 games against Conference opponents at Trojan Arena.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won three of its last four games against Troy.
• Texas State has won the first half in each of its last three day games against Troy.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Troy’s last 12 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
• Four of Texas State’s last five games have produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (65.6).
• Troy ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.8).
• Texas State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (14.6).
• Texas State ranks T360th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (4.8).

Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans Prediction

I’m backing Texas State and the points in this one. I just think that Texas State is not this many points worse than Troy even on the road, as I’ve had a hard time laying this kind of number with the Trojans and even then, Texas State has had some solid performances on the road in spots. I’ll take the Bobcats and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas State +8.5