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Texas A&M Commerce vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction 2/9/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Texas A&M Commerce Lions | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-15 | 21-3 |
| Spread | +15.5 -115 | -15.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +950 | -1650 |
| Total | Over 141.5 (-108) | Under 141.5 (-112) |
| Where | William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches, TX | |
| When | Monday, February 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions and the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks will meet on Monday afternoon in a Southland Conference matchup at William R. Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, Texas.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Betting Preview
The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks enter Monday evening’s matchup with New Orleans with a 21–3 win-loss record, including a rather impressive 14–1 mark in conference play and an undefeated 13-0 record at home. The Lumberjacks have compiled wins over Arkansas State, UL Monroe, Rice and UT Rio Grande Valley, while dropping games to UT Arlington and the Fresno State Bulldogs. Earlier this season, in the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks dominant 103–55 victory over Dallas College, Stephen F. Austin guard Keon Thompson tallied 14 points (5 of 8 shooting from the field), 5 rebounds, 5 rebounds, 8 assists and 1 steal.
It should also be noted that these two teams met earlier this season. Who prevailed? The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks defeated the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions 75-48 in December.
The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks average 75.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting from the field and 34.7 percent shooting from three-point range per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Lumberjacks are allowing opponents just 65.3 points per game which ranks 13th in the country.
Senior guard Keon Thompson leads the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks with 16.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 0.8 steals per game. Senior forward Jerald Colonel contributes 5.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1 steal per game, giving the Lumberjacks a strong interior presence.
East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Betting Preview
The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions enter Monday’s contest with a 10–15 record, including a 5-10 mark in conference play and a 4-10 record on the road. The Lions have compiled wins over Southeast Louisiana, Army and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights, while losing games to Rice, Connecticut, Hawaii, and the Texas A&M Aggies. In the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions 84-67 victory over the Army Black Knights earlier this season, East Texas A&M Commerce guard Damian Garcia tallied 20 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 block illustrating his ability to perform at a high level.
The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions average 67.4 points on 41.1 percent shooting from the field and 31.2 percent from three-point range per game. Through 25 games played in 2025, the Lions are allowing opponents 76.5 points per contest.
Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions frontcourt averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal a game.
Why the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Will Win
• Quality guard play. Senior guard Keon Thompson leads the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks with 16.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 0.8 steals per game.
• Confidence. The Lumberjacks defeated the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions in December.
• Home court dominance. The Lumberjacks have compiled a perfect 13-0 record at home in 2025.
• Elite defense. The Lumberjacks are allowing opponents just 65.3 points per game which ranks 13th in the country.
• Offensive edge. The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks average 75.9 points per game. Conversely, the Lions average just 67.4 points per contest.
Why the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Will Win
• Balance scoring. Harrison and Garcia have the potential to perform at a high level from an offensive perspective.
• Guard play. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal a game.
• Quality frontcourt play. Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the Lions frontcourt averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game.
Stephen F. Austin vs. East Texas A&M Commerce
This matchup features East Texas A&M Commerce’s perimeter shooting and recent offensive rhythm against a Stephen F. Austin team that has been dominant in conference play and has compiled an undefeated home record (13-0). The Lions defensive inconsistency and reliance on outside shooting make the team difficult to trust on the road. With that said, I am backing the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks to win this game.
