Jan 10, 2026; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Alabama guard Labaron Philon Jr. (0) defends as Texas guard Jordan Pope (0) maneuvers for a shot at Coleman Coliseum. Texas defeated Alabama 92-88. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News
Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Texas A&M-CC vs Texas A&M Commerce Prediction 1/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Texas A&M-CC Islanders Texas A&M Commerce Lions
Team Records 8-8 7-10
Spread -7.5 -108 +7.5 -112
Moneyline -270 +220
Total Over 139.5 (-115) Under 139.5 (-105)
Where The Field House, Commerce, TX
When Monday, January 12, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Texas A&M–Commerce Lions and the Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders will meet on Monday night in a Southland Conference matchup at the American Bank Center in Corpus Christi, Texas.

East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Betting Preview

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions enter Monday evening’s contest with a 7–10 win-loss record, including a 2-8 mark on the road and a 2-5 record in conference play. The Lions have compiled wins over Army, Southeast Louisiana and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights, while losing games to Rice, Connecticut, Hawaii, Stephen F. Austin and the Texas A&M Aggies. in the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions 84-67 victory over the Army Black Knights earlier this season, East Texas A&M Commerce guard Damian Garcia tallied 20 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 block illustrating his ability to lead the Lions backcourt.

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions average 67.4 points on 41.1 percent shooting from the field and 32.1 percent from three-point range per game. Through 17 games played in 2025, the Lions are allowing opponents 79.7 points per game which ranks a dreadful 282nd in the nation.

Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions frontcourt averaging 15.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.5 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1 steal a game.

Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders Betting Preview

The Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders enter Monday’s matchup with a 8–8 overall record, including a 4–3 mark in conference play and a 5-1 record at home. The Islanders have amassed wins over UT Rio Grande Valley, Lamar, and Nicholls, while dropping games to Xavier, Dallas Christian, Nichols and the Northwestern State Demons. In the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 77-69 win over UT Rio Grande Valley two days ago, Islanders forward Ronnie Henderson accumulated 18 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal and 1 block illustrating his ability to impact the game on both ends of the floor.

The Islanders are averaging 67.5 points on 41.3 percent shooting from the field and 32.1 percent from behind the arc per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, Corpus Christi is allowing opponents 72.5 points per game, ranking among the top defensive units in the Southland Conference.

Senior forward Sheldon Williams leads the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders with 11.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1 assist and 0.5 steals per game. Senior Mason Gibson contributes 11 points, 1.9 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.1 steals per contest, giving Corpus Christi a strong presence in the backcourt. Senior center Franck Yetna adds 7.4 rebounds and 4.3 rebounds per game.

Why the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Will Win

•            Balance scoring. Harrison and Garcia have the potential to perform at a high level from an offensive perspective.

•            Ability to win on the road. The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions are 4-2 on the road this season.

Why the Texas A&M–Corpus Christi Islanders Will Win

• Frontcourt play. Senior forward Sheldon Williams leads the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders with 11.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1 assist and 0.5 steals per game.

• Defensive advantage. Corpus Christi allows just 72.5 points per game. Conversely, the Lions are allowing 79.7 points per contest.

• Home court edge. The Islanders are 5-1 at home this season.

East Texas A&M Commerce vs. Texas A&M–Corpus Christi

This matchup leans toward a game where both offenses find consistent scoring opportunities. Commerce’s defensive issues on the road and Corpus Christi’s ability to generate efficient possessions create a scoring environment that should stay active throughout. The Islanders have the interior edge, and Commerce has enough perimeter variance to contribute, making the total the cleaner angle. For the reasons just noted, I am backing over 139.5 in this matchup.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Over 139.5

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