Feb 18, 2026; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA;  Tennessee Volunteers forward Nate Ament (10) shoots a three pointer against the Oklahoma Sooners during the first half at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-Imagn Images
Randy Sartin-Imagn Images

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Tennessee Volunteers Vanderbilt Commodores
Team Records 20-7 21-6
Where Memorial Gymnasium (TN), Nashville, TN
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 02:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Memorial Gym. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores prediction.

Tennessee Volunteers Recap

The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to build on their 89-66 win over Oklahoma last time out to sit at 19-7 this season. After this game, Tennessee will head on the road for a game against Missouri.

Volunteers Win 3 Straight

Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the Vols in scoring and assists with 18.2 PPG and 5.4 APG while Nate Ament has 17.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to lead the Vols in rebounding along with 2.6 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Tennessee up to this point in the year. J.P. Estrella has 9.7 PPG with 5.2 RPG while Jaylen Carey has 7.9 PPG with 6 RPG of his own and Felix Okpara has 6.4 PPG with 5.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 81 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 35.2% from three and 69.8% from the foul line this season.

Vanderbilt Commodores Recap

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game looking to bounce back from their 81-80 loss to Missouri last time out to sit at 21-5 this season. After this game, Vanderbilt will take on Georgia at home.

Commodores Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Tyler Tanner leads the ‘Dores with 17.8 PPG and in assists with 5.1 APG along with 3.5 RPG while Duke Miles has 16.6 PPG with 3 RPG and 4.3 APG. Tyler Nickel has 14.5 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Vanderbilt so far this season. Devin McGlockton has 9.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG to lead Vanderbilt in rebounding and Jalen Washington has 8.9 PPG with 5.4 RPG. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 88.8 PPG on 48.7% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Tennessee Volunteers @ Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends: February 21, 2026

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

  • Vanderbilt has won 22 of its last 24 games at Memorial Gymnasium against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Tennessee has lost each of its last four day games against Conference opponents.
  • Vanderbilt has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 day games as an AP-ranked team.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Tennessee has won 14 of its last 16 games against Vanderbilt.
  • Tennessee has won the first half in each of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Vanderbilt’s last four games have produced a total of 151+ points.
  • Each of Tennessee’s last four day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Vanderbilt ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
  • Vanderbilt ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
  • Tennessee ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.4%).
  • Tennessee ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.0).

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction

I’m on Tennessee here. I get the case to be made for Vanderbilt at home where they’ve been at their best this season. However, Tennessee has been rolling along in their own right at the moment and the Volunteers aren’t a team I’m really looking to step in front of right now. Vanderbilt’s a fun team to watch, but they still have their duds every now and again and I think Tennessee could nip them here. Give me the Vols and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tennessee +3.5

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