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Tennessee vs Florida Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Tennessee Volunteers | Florida Gators |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Where | Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Florida Gators Preview
Florida Gators have a 10-5 record this season and are tied for 10th place in SEC. They have a 7-0 home record and are coming off a 92-77 home win against Georgia. Their previous three games were a 76-74 away win against Missouri, a 94-72 home win against Dartmouth and a 90-60 home win against Columbia (GW).
Offensively, Florida averages 84.8 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game defensively. The Gators shoot with 46% from the field and grab 47.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.5 assists per game. They average 5.3 blocks per game and 5.9 steals per game defensively.
Thomas Haugh leads Florida in scoring, with an average of 17.5 points per game, while shooting with 47.6% from the field and 72.8% from the free throw line. Rueben Chinyelu is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.3 per game, while Alex Condon adds a team-high 3.6 assists per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview
Tennessee Volunteers have an 11-4 record this season and are tied for 9th place in SEC. They have a 0-2 road record and are coming off an 85-71 home win against Texas. Their previous three games were an 86-75 away loss against Arkansas, a 105-54 home win against South Carolina State and a 94-52 home win against Gardner-Webb.
Offensively, Tennessee averages 83.4 points per game, while allowing 65.7 points per game defensively. The Volunteers shoot with 49% from the field and grab 42.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 19.0 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.
Jahmai Gillespie leads Tennessee in scoring, with an average of 18.7 points per game, while shooting with 44.3% from the field and 89.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.7 assists. Nate Ament is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers @ Florida Gators Betting Trends: January 10, 2026
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 14 games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last four games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center following a home win.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last 12 day games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won 31 of its last 35 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has lost three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has won the first half in 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last seven day games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Thirty of Tennessee’s last 36 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
Tennessee vs Florida Prediction
In this Tennessee vs Florida Prediction, Florida is coming as -4.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season but Florida has been undefeated at home, while Tennessee has lost both of its road games. Both teams have also been bad against the spread and both are coming into this matchup in good form, with a 5-1 and 4-1 record in their last 6 and 5 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. They have both been excellent offensively this season, scoring 168.2 points per game combined, so I expect a high-scoring affair today. Take the over 153.5 points.
