Mar 13, 2026; Chicago, IL, USA; Michigan Wolverines center Aday Mara (15) defends Ohio State Buckeyes guard Bruce Thornton (2) during the second half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images
David Banks-Imagn Images

TCU vs Ohio State Prediction 3/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP TCU Horned Frogs Ohio State Buckeyes
Team Records 22-11 21-12
Spread +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110
Moneyline +120 -142
Total Over 145.5 (-112) Under 145.5 (-108)
Where Ohio State Stadium
When Thursday, March 19, 2026
Time 12:15 PM EDT
TV CBS

In this article we will formulate a TCU vs Ohio State prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 19th at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, South Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NCAA Tournament matchup.

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are 22-11 (11-7) this season after they lost to Kansas by a score of 78-73 in their last game. TCU led 34-31 at halftime, but they allowed 47 points in the second half in the loss. The Horned Frogs shot 39% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 78% on free throws in the game. David Punch led TCU with 24 points and 10 rebounds, while Jayden Pierre added 11 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, TCU defeated Oklahoma State by a score of 95-88 and Cincinnati by a score of 73-63. The Horned Frogs have scored 78.3 points per game with 36.2 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.1 points against per game this season. David Punch is averaging 14.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while Xavier Edmonds is averaging 12.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game for the Horned Frogs. TCU is shooting 44.8% from the field, 70.8% on free throws, and 33.1% on three pointers this season. 

Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 21-12 (12-8) this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 71-67 in their last game. Ohio State trailed 39-35 at halftime, but they did hold Michigan to 32 points in the second half in the close loss. The Buckeyes shot 38% from the field, 33% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Bruce Thornton led OSU with 20 points and four assists, while John Mobley Jr added 14 points and two rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Ohio State defeated Iowa by a score of 72-69 and Indiana by a score of 91-78. The Buckeyes have scored 79.8 points per game with 33.2 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.8 points against per game this season. Bruce Thornton is averaging 20.2 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while John Mobley Jr is averaging 15.7 points and 2.4 rebounds per game for the Buckeyes. Ohio State is shooting 49.3% from the field, 77.5% on free throws, and 36.0% on three pointers this year.

Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win

  • Ohio State has won each of its last seven Thursday day games.
  • TCU has lost each of its last three NCAA Tournament games against a higher seed.
  • TCU has lost the first half in six of its last eight day games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

  • TCU has won eight of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Ohio State has lost three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
  • Ohio State has lost the first half in seven of its last nine NCAA Tournament day games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Ohio State’s last five day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Four of TCU’s last five games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ohio State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.5%).
  • Ohio State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.5%).
  • TCU ranks T42nd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.5).
  • TCU ranks T45th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.1).

TCU vs Ohio State Prediction

Both of these teams had lengthy winning streaks snapped in their conference tournament, but they have been very strong over the last few weeks. Ohio State is shooting 49% from the field and they have scored 82+ in three of their last five. TCU is shooting 45% from the field and they have allowed fewer than 69 points in three of their last five. I really like how both of these teams finished the season and this game is probably a toss up, but I think TCU is the slightly better side and I like them to win.

David Racey's Pick: TCU ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks