Dec 15, 2024; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Oregon Ducks guard TJ Bamba (5) drives to the basket between Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks guard Matt Hayman (1) and guard Keon Thompson (5) during the second half at Matthew Knight Arena. Mandatory Credit: Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images
Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images

Stephen F. Austin vs Incarnate Word Prediction 3/2/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Incarnate Word Cardinals
Team Records 26-4 12-18
Spread -8.5 -112 +8.5 -108
Moneyline -425 +330
Total Over 143.5 (-115) Under 143.5 (-105)
Where McDermott Center, San Antonio, TX
When Monday, March 2, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and the Incarnate Word Cardinals meet Monday in college basketball action from the McDermott Convocation Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals prediction.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Recap

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks come into this game looking to add on to their 77-56 win over Houston Christian last time out to sit at 26-4 this season.

Lumberjacks Looking For 20th Conference Win

Keon Thompson leads the Lumberjacks in scoring and assists with 18.3 PPG and 4.4 APG along with 4.9 RPG while Lateef Patrick has 15.1 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Stephen F. Austin so far this season. Narit Chotikavanic has 9.5 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Kam Burton has 7.9 PPG and Chrishawn Christmas has 6.5 PPG with 6.9 RPG. Jerald Colonel has a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Lumberjacks in rebounding this season. As a team, Stephen F. Austin is averaging 77.5 PPG on 45.1% shooting from the field, 36.3% from three and 67.9% from the foul line this season.

Incarnate Word Cardinals Recap

The Incarnate Word Cardinals come into this game looking to build on their 72-60 win over Lamar last time out to sit at 12-18 this season.

Cardinals Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Davion Bailey leads the Cardinals in scoring with 18.5 PPG along with 3.3 RPG while Tahj Staveskie has 17.4 PPG with 3.9 RPG and a team-high 4.1 APG and Jordan Pyke has 12.6 PPG with 5.1 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Incarnate Word so far this season. Harold Woods also has 8.7 PPG with 6.8 RPG to lead Incarnate Word in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Incarnate Word is averaging 74.5 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field, 38% from three and 72.2% from the foul line this season.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks @ Incarnate Word Cardinals Betting Trends: March 2, 2026


Why the Incarnate Word Cardinals will win

  • Incarnate Word has won nine of its last 10 games at Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center following a home win.
  • Incarnate Word has won the first half in each of its last three games.

Why the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks will win

  • Stephen F. Austin has won 14 of its last 15 games.
  • Incarnate Word has lost nine of its last 10 night games.
  • Stephen F. Austin has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Incarnate Word’s last four night games have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Stephen F. Austin’s last 11 night games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Incarnate Word ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.2).
  • Incarnate Word ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.5).
  • Stephen F. Austin ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.7).
  • Stephen F. Austin ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.1%).

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals Prediction

I’m on Stephen F. Austin here. Incarnate Word is fighting for their tournament lives as only the top-8 make the Southland conference tournament. However, while McNeese hosts the Southland conference tournament, giving away an edge to McNeese as the 2-seed, I still think having the 1 seed gets you the slightly easier path in the tournament and SFA would love a conference regular season title as it is with how dominant McNeese has been the last few years. Give me SFA here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Stephen F. Austin -8.5

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