St. Francis-PA vs Dayton Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/4/24

Pick details

Dayton (0-0) vs St. Francis-Pennsylvania (0-0)

November 4, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -25.5 / St. Francis-Pennsylvania +25.5 — Over/Under: 126.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Francis PA Red Flash and the Dayton Flyers meet Monday in college basketball action from UD Arena. Here’s a St. Francis PA vs Dayton prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best St. Francis PA vs Dayton pick. We will examine:

The St. Francis PA Red Flash recent form and player performance

The Dayton Flyers recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Francis PA Red Flash

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Dayton Flyers

Recent betting trends in games played between St. Francis PA and Dayton

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the St. Francis PA vs Dayton game

St. Francis PA Red Flash Betting Preview

The Red Flash had a forgettable campaign a season ago. St. Francis PA went just 8-22 overall and 3-13 in Northeast Conference matchups, leaving them ahead of only Stonehill in the standings. In the NEC Tournament, the Flash lost their opener to Central Connecticut.

Head coach Rob Krimmel will get three of his starters back in his 13th year at the helm. It’s much more experience to work with as opposed to last year, including Sophomores Bobby Rosenberger (9.0 PPG), Aidan Harris (4.0 PPG) and Aaron Talbert (8.3 PPG).

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

Over on the Dayton side, they had a pretty good run in 2023-24. The Flyers managed a 25-8 overall record with a 14-4 result in the Atlantic 10. Dayton posted a third-place finish in the standings behind Richmond and Loyola. An eventual loss to Arizona in the Second Round of the national tourney ended the season.

The Flyers will get back head coach Anthony Grant in his eighth season. Dayton loses a few key names though, specifically DaRon Holmes (NBA Draft), Kobe Elvis (Oklahoma) and Koby Brea (Kentucky). Posh Alexander (Butler) and Zed Key (Ohio State) come in through the portal to help fill the gaps.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

  • Dayton has won each of its last 16 games at University of Dayton Arena.
  • Saint Francis has lost each of its last 10 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Dayton has won the first half in each of its last nine home night games against non-Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Dayton ranked 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game last season (9.4).
  • Dayton ranked 359th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game last season (53.1).

St. Francis PA vs Dayton Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with Dayton here. The Flyers are in for an interesting season following their success in 2023-24. Senior Malachi Smith (7.7 PPG) is back on the floor after a torn ACL last year, and he’ll contribute to a roster that’s already pretty good on paper. There’s a challenging schedule ahead, however.

As for St. Francis PA, they may have another tough year ahead due to their lack of transfer players. That said, the Red Flash should showcase more experience and chemistry than they did last season. For now though, I don’t think they’re covering here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dayton Flyers -25.5

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