Southern vs Texas State Prediction 12/10/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Southern Jaguars will meet on Wednesday evening in a non‑conference matchup at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats enter Wednesday night’s contest with a 6–5 win‑loss record, including a perfect 6–0 mark at home. The Bobcats have compiled wins over UTSA, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian, Little Rock and Texas Lutheran, while losing games to Bowling Green, Tulane, Rice, Seattle, and Lehigh. In the Texas State Bobcats 65–56 victory over the Little Rock Trojans last month, forward DJ Hall tallied 12 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists.

The Texas State Bobcats average 66.9 points on 44.1 percent shooting from the field and 31.6 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. The Bobcats are allowing opponents 69.3 points per game.

Freshman forward DJ Hall leads the Texas State Bobcats averaging 12.5 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Senior guard Mark Drone adds 12.2 points, 2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, while junior guard Dimp Pernell contributes 8.8 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest.

Southern Jaguars Betting Preview

The Southern Jaguars enter Wednesday’s contest with a 4–5 record, including a 1–5 mark on the road. The Jaguars have compiled wins over Ecclesia, Champion Christian, Northwestern State, and Louisiana Christian, while dropping games to Arkansas, Marquette, Washington, San José State and the Texas Longhorns. In the Southern Jaguars 95–69 loss to Texas last week, guard Michael Jacobs accumulated 11 points and 3 assists.

The Southern Jaguars average 77 points on 42.4 percent shooting from the field and 37.7 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Jaguars are allowing opponents 92.7 points per game which ranks an abysmal 362nd in the nation.

Senior guard Michael Jacobs leads the Southern Jaguars averaging 21 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. Senior forward DaMariee Jones adds 10.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, while sophomore guard Fazl Oshodi contributes 9.2 points and 1.8 rebounds per contest. Senior forward Malek Abdelgowad provides 10 points, 7.9 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game.

Why the Texas State Bobcats Will Win

•            Home dominance. The Texas State Bobcats are unbeaten at home (6–0) this season.

•            Balanced roster. Hall, Drone, and Pernell provide scoring, rebounding, and playmaking ability.

•            Defensive edge. The Bobcats are allowing opponents 69.3 points per game.

Why the Southern Jaguars Will Win

•            Senior guard Michael Jacobs leads the Southern Jaguars averaging 21 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game

•            Frontcourt presence. Jones and Abdelgowad provide rebounding and inside scoring.

•            Upset motivation. Southern will be eager to knock off a Sun Belt opponent.

Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Jaguars Prediction

This matchup features the Texas State Bobcats defensive efficiency and home dominance against the Southern Jaguars high volume scoring led by Michael Jacobs. I expect the Texas State Bobcats to lean on Hall’s rebounding and Gumbs playmaking to control tempo and pace, while the Jaguars will look to Jacobs to carry the scoring load.

Beyond the statistical edge, Texas State’s ability to limit turnovers and force Southern into contested shots could be decisive. If the Bobcats convert defensive stops into transition points, they’ll build separation. Southern will need Jacobs to have a monster performance to keep this close, but Texas State’s team depth and defensive consistency make that unlikely.

Additionally, the Bobcats ability to control pace at home should prove critical. With Hall anchoring the paint and Drone providing perimeter scoring, Texas State has the tools to stretch the margin late. If Southern fails to slow the tempo, the Bobcats’ balanced attack will likely extend the lead and secure another home victory. I am backing Texas State to cover the 2.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Texas State -2.5