Southern Mississippi vs Troy Prediction 3/8/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction for this Sun Belt Championship Semifinal on Sunday, March 8th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Troy Trojans Preview

The Troy Trojans have a 20-11 overall record and a 12-6 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off an 80-65 home win against ULM and their previous three games were a 78-59 home win against Louisiana, a 65-54 road loss against South Alabama and a 77-76 road win against ULM.

Offensively, Troy averages 80.5 points per game, while allowing 73.6 points per game defensively. The Trojans shoot with 45% from the field and grab 38.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 8 steals per game defensively.

Victor Valdes leads Troy in scoring, with an average of 15 points per game, while shooting with 40.1% from the field and 76.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.5 assists. Thomas Dowd is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.1 per game.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Preview

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have a 19-15 overall record and a 9-9 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off an 86-73 home win against Appalachian State and their previous three games were an 81-77 home win against Texas State, an 86-80 home win against James Madison and a 68-55 road win against South Alabama.

Offensively, Southern Miss averages 74.9 points per game, while allowing 73.7 points per game defensively. The Golden Eagles shoot with 45% from the field and grab 36.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.5 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 7.4 steals per game defensively.

Tylik Weeks leads Southern Miss in scoring, with an average of 19.9 points per game, while shooting with 46.9% from the field and 82.6% from the free throw line. Djahi Binet is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.9 per game. Dylan Brumfield leads the team in assists with 3 assists per game.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: March 8, 2026

Why the Troy Trojans will win

 
 
Troy has won 10 of its last 12 day games.
Troy has won the first half in five of its last six games against Southern Miss.

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

 
 
Southern Miss has won each of its last five games at Pensacola Bay Center.
Troy has lost three of its last four day games at Pensacola Bay Center.
Southern Miss has won the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

 
 
Seven of the last eight games between Southern Miss and Troy have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Ten of Southern Miss’ last 12 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

 
 
Troy ranks T31st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.5).
Troy ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.6%).
Southern Miss ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.7).
Southern Miss ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.2).

Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction

In this Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction, Troy is coming as -3.5 favorites. Troy has been the better team this season but Southern Miss has been slightly better against the spread. Troy is 3-1 in its last 4 games while Southern Miss is 6-1 in its last 7 and both teams are tied 1-1 in their two meetings this season, with each team winning at home. Troy is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games, while Southern Miss is 9-1 ATS in its last 10, so I like Southern Miss as underdogs in this matchup, so grab them and get the +3.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Southern Miss +3.5