Mar 3, 2022; St. Louis, MO, USA;  A detail view of a referees whistle during the second half of a game between the Illinois State Redbirds and the Indiana State Sycamores in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament at Enterprise Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images
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South Alabama vs Appalachian State Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP South Alabama Jaguars Appalachian State Mountaineers
Team Records 16-6
Spread +4.5 -108 -4.5 -112
Moneyline +185 -225
Total Over 130.5 (-112) Under 130.5 (-108)
Where Holmes Convocation Center, Boone, NC
When Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Time 06:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars and the Appalachian State Mountaineers meet Wednesday in college basketball action from Holmes Center in Boone Here’s a South Alabama vs App State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best South Alabama vs App State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jaguars opened on a nice stretch this year, winning eight of their first nine with a lone loss to UAB mixed in there. South Alabama would lose three of the next four games, but they’ve since gone 7-2 over a nine-game stretch. The only losses during that time came courtesy of Troy and Louisiana. Over the first 22 games of the season, that gives the Jaguars a 16-6 overall run in the books.

In their weekend matchup versus Georgia State, the Jaguars went into the second half nursing a three-point edge 36-33. South Alabama was outscored 34-33 the rest of the way but held on for the win in the end 69-67. Leading the team in scoring was Chaze Harris with 15 points, six assists and four rebounds. Adam Olsen doubled up on 10 points with 11 rebounds in the victory as well.

App State Mountaineers Betting Preview

Over on the App State side, they came out of the gate limping on a 4-5 overall run in their first nine outings. The Mountaineers are 11-4 in their last 15 games, taking wins over Virginia-Lynchburg, East Carolina, High Point, Coastal Carolina, Old Dominion, Georgia State, James Madison, Louisiana, LA-Monroe, Southern Miss and Troy. That makes for a 15-9 run through 24 games thus far.

In the Troy matchup on Saturday the Mountaineers were leaving the floor in the first half with a 12-point edge 36-24. Appalachian State kept it up in the second half with a 30-20 run and took the victory in the end 66-44. Leading the team in scoring was Kasen Jennings with 33 points and three rebounds. Alonzo Dodd added a nice line on 11 points, nine assists and seven rebounds in 36 minutes.

South Alabama Jaguars @ Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Trends: February 4, 2026

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

  • Appalachian State has won each of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • South Alabama has lost the first half in nine of its last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

  • South Alabama has won each of its last 11 night games against the Sun Belt Conference.

South Alabama vs App State Prediction

I’m going to lean toward App State but this one’s a coin flip. The Mountaineers dispatched a pretty good Troy team on the road this past weekend, thanks to a 32-26 rebounding edge and just 32.7 percent shooting allowed from the field. App State did get outmuscled in the paint 26-16 and only got to the line eight times (making seven), however. Still, the Mountaineers are looking good these days on a four-game win streak, giving up fewer than 64 points in each of those victories.

As for South Alabama, they survived a pesky Georgia State team in a home matchup over the weekend thanks to a nice 51.9 percent shooting from the field. The Jags had a 50-12 edge on points in the paint but just 18.8 percent (3-of-16) from outside and 10-of-19 (52.6 percent) at the line. South Alabama can compete very well here if they can tweak a few things, though.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers -4.5

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