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SMU vs Duke Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | SMU Mustangs | Duke Blue Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-4 | 15-1 |
| Where | Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
SMU Mustangs Betting Preview
The SMU Mustangs beat North Carolina, lost to Clemson, and they play Virginia Tech next. SMU has won 10 of its last 13 games.
The SMU Mustangs are averaging 90.1 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 76.7 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Boopie Miller is averaging 20.6 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Jaron Pierre Jr. is averaging 17.9 points and 1.6 assists. BJ Edwards is the third double-digit scorer and Corey Washington is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The SMU Mustangs are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The SMU Mustangs are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
The Duke Blue Devils beat Florida State and Louisville, and they play Cal next. Duke has won 14 of its last 15 games.
The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 87.1 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 66 points on 38.6 percent shooting. Cameron Boozer is averaging 23.3 points and 9.7 rebounds, while Isaiah Evans is averaging 14 points and 3.6 rebounds. Patrick Ngongba II is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Foster is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 71.4 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won each of its last 23 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
- SMU has lost eight of its last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- SMU has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the SMU Mustangs will win
- SMU has won seven of its last eight day games as an AP-ranked team.
- Duke has lost the first half in each of its last five day games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of SMU’s last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Seven of Duke’s last eight games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Duke ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+21.1).
- Duke ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
- SMU ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.7).
- SMU ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.4%).
SMU vs Duke Prediction
SMU has issues defensively at times so it wouldn’t be shocking to see a blowout loss. However, SMU does have a couple of nice results, with wins over Texas A&M and North Carolina. SMU has shown it can play with the big boys at times. This is also a letdown spot for Duke after a win over Louisville, and the Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Duke has had issues with these inflated lines, and if the right SMU shows up, this game could get interesting. Give me the points with the Mustangs.
