San Diego vs St. Mary’s Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, February 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 19-4 overall record this season and an 8-2 record in the WCC. They are coming off a 73-65 away loss against Gonzaga and their previous three games were a 75-69 away win against Portland, an 81-51 home win against Oregon State and a 62-54 away loss against Santa Clara.

Offensively, Saint Mary’s averages 78 points per game, while allowing 64.9 points per game defensively. The Gaels shoot with 46% from the field and grab 39.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.

Paulius Murauskas leads Saint Mary’s in scoring, with an average of 19.1 points per game, while shooting with 47.8% from the field and 84.0% from the free throw line. Andrew McKeever leads the team in rebounds with 9.3 per game. Joshua Dent leads the team in assists with 5.3 per game.

San Diego Toreros Preview

The San Diego Toreros have a 10-14 overall record this season and a 4-7 record in the WCC. They are coming off a 78-76 home loss in overtime against Oregon State and their previous three games were a 92-88 away win in overtime against Pepperdine, an 85-73 home loss against Santa Clara and a 96-92 home win against Washington State.

Offensively, San Diego averages 76.8 points per game, while allowing 78.1 points per game defensively. The Toreros shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 8.5 steals per game defensively.

Ty Laur Johnson leads San Diego in both scoring and assists, with an average of 15.7 points and 4.7 assists per game, while shooting with 43.7% from the field and 82.6% from the free throw line. Assane Diop leads the team in rebounds with 5.1 per game.

San Diego Toreros @ Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends: February 4, 2026

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

• Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 34 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• San Diego has lost 17 of its last 21 night games against Conference opponents.
• Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 34 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the San Diego Toreros will win

• San Diego has won five of its last six games following an overtime loss.
• The road team has won the first half in three of the last four games between San Diego and Saint Mary’s.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Saint Mary’s’ last 11 night games against Conference opponents at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
• Nine of San Diego’s last 10 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

San Diego vs Saint Mary’s Prediction

In this San Diego vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -19.5 home favorites. Saint Mary’s has been the far better team this season and have been undefeated at home. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games and 6-3 against the spread, while San Diego is just 4-6 in its last 10 games but 6-3 against the spread. Saint Mary’s has been better both on the offensive and the defensive end, having the 10th-best defense in the entire nation and a +13.1 point differential, so I expect them to take care of business today at home and cover the spread.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Saint Mary's -19.5