Dec 10, 2025; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Idaho Vandals forward Seth Joba (21) fights for a rebound with Notre Dame Fighting Irish guard Sir Mohammed (13) and forward Brady Koehler (6) during the second half at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center. Mandatory Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images
Michael Caterina-Imagn Images

Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction 1/22/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Sacramento State Hornets Idaho Vandals
Team Records 6-11 11-7
Spread +9.5 -102 -9.5 -118
Moneyline +400 -535
Total Over 159.5 (-108) Under 159.5 (-112)
Where ICCU Arena, Moscow, ID
When Thursday, January 22, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, January 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Idaho Vandals Preview


Idaho Vandals have an 11-7 record this season and are in the 5th place of the Big Sky. They have a 3-2 conference record and are coming off a 75-67 away win against Weber State. Their previous three games were a 76-68 away loss against Idaho State, a 92-89 home win against Montana State and a 79-73 home win against Montana.

Offensively, Idaho averages 80.4 points per game, while allowing 73.3 points per game defensively. The Vandals shoot with 45% from the field and grab 37.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.3 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game defensively.

Kolton Mitchell leads Idaho in scoring, with an average of 14.6 points per game. Mitchell also leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game. Brody Rowbury is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.1 per game.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview


Sacramento State Hornets have a 6-11 record this season and are in the 7th place of the Big Sky. They have a 2-3 conference record and are coming off a 93-89 overtime home win against Northern Colorado. Their previous three games were an 83-69 home win against Northern Arizona, a 96-69 away loss against Portland State and a 95-82 away loss against Weber State.

Offensively, Sacramento State averages 78.2 points per game, while allowing 82.4 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 41% from the field and grab 37.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.1 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

Mikey Williams leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points per game, while shooting with 37.8% from the field and 78.4% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.7 assists. Prophet Johnson is the team’s leading rebounder with 8 per game.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Idaho Vandals Betting Trends: January 22, 2026


Why the Idaho Vandals will win

  • The home team has won each of Sacramento State’s last 14 games.
  • Sacramento State has lost each of its last nine road games following a home win.
  • Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • Idaho has lost each of its last three home night games against Conference opponents.
  • Idaho has lost the first half in each of its last four home night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Idaho’s last 12 night games against Conference opponents at ICCU Arena have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Fifty-two of Sacramento State’s last 55 Thursday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Idaho ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.2).
  • Idaho ranks T25th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.6).
  • Sacramento State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (40.4).
  • Sacramento State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.8).

Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction


In this Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction, Idaho is coming as -19 home favorites. Idaho has been the far better team this season with almost twice the number of overall wins than Sacramento, and have been almost perfect at home, while Sacramento State has been terrible on the road, having lost all of its 10 road games. Idaho has been up and down lately and 2-4 against the spread in its last 6 games and Sacramento State has back-to-back wins and covers. I see no value on either side, but Sacramento State’s offense has been lights out recently and they are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games, so take the over 160 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 160

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