Nov 11, 2025; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions guard Freddie Dilione V (5) shoots the ball during the first half against the Navy Midshipmen at Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images
Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images

Providence vs Penn State Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Providence Friars Penn State Nittany Lions
Team Records 3-2 5-0
Spread -4.5 -108 +4.5 -112
Moneyline -192 +160
Total Over 160.5 (-110) Under 160.5 (-110)
Where Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
When Saturday, November 22, 2025
Time 04:00 PM EST
TV truTV

The Providence Friars and the Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Providence Friars vs. Penn State Nittany Lions prediction.

Providence Friars Recap

The Providence Friars come into this game looking to add on to their 98-66 win over New Hampshire last time out to sit at 3-2 this season.

Friars Still Searching For Consistency

Jason Edwards leads the Friars in scoring and assists with 20.4 PPG and 4.6 APG along with 3.4 RPG while Jaylin Sellers has 16.6 PPG with 3.8 RPG. Stefan Vaaks has 14.8 PPG and Corey Floyd Jr. has 12 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG. Ryan Mela has 11 PPG with 6.8 RPG and Jamier Jones has 10 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Providence so far this season. Oswin Erhunmwunse has 6.6 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead Providence in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Providence is averaging 96.4 PPG on 49.7% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three and 78.9% from the foul line this season. 

Penn State Nittany Lions Recap

The Penn State Nittany Lions come into this game looking to build on their 84-80 win over Harvard last time out to sit at 5-0 this season. After this game, Penn State will take on Boston U at home.

Nittany Lions Looking To Remain Unbeaten

Kayden Mingo leads Penn State in scoring and assists with 17 PPG and 4.4 APG along with 4.8 RPG to also lead Penn State in rebounding while Melih Tunca has 14.4 PPG with 4.2 APG and Freddie Dilione V has 12.4 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.4 APG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Penn State so far this season. Josh Reed has 9.2 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Dominick Stewart has 9 PPG wtih 2.4 RPG and Ivan Juric has 8.8 PPG with 4 RPG. As a team, Penn State is averaging 82 PPG on 52.6% shooting from the field, 36.6% from three and 68.4% from the foul line this season.

Providence Friars @ Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends: November 22, 2025


Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

  • Penn State has won each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Providence has lost each of its last seven games played at neutral venues.
  • Penn State has won the first half in each of its last six day games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Providence Friars will win

  • Penn State has lost six of its last eight day games played at neutral venues.
  • Providence has won three of its last four games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Providence has won the first half in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Penn State’s last 20 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Thirty-two of Providence’s last 34 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Penn State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (7.2).
  • Penn State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (86.8%).
  • Providence ranks T361st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.8).
  • Providence ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (96.4).

Providence Friars vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction

I’m on Providence here. I just think Providence is the more battle-tested team here and side-by-side, I think the Friars are the better and more talented team here. Penn State has a great record and all, but I look for Providence to show up here and get the job done for the win and coer here. Give me Providence.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Providence -4.5

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