Portland vs St. Mary’s Prediction 2/19/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

St. Mary's (23-4) vs Portland (10-17)

February 19, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -25.5 — Over/Under: 138.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Portland Pilots are visiting the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Wednesday, February 19th at the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Portland Pilots vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction. We will examine:

The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ recent form and player performance

The Portland Pilots’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Portland Pilots

Recent betting trends in games played between the Portland Pilots and Saint Mary’s Gaels

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Portland Pilots vs Saint Mary’s Gaels game

Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 23-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the West Coast. They are coming off a 77-56 win over Washington State. The Gaels are 13-13 against the spread, and 10-15-1 in over/under, while having a 14-1 home record.

Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 74.7 points per game, which ranks 166th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 60.5 points per game, which is the 4th-best in the nation. The Gaels shoot 46.1% from the field (112th) and 33% from beyond the arc (244th). The Gaels shoot 69% from the free-throw line (277th) and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game, which is the 25th-best in the nation.

Augustas Marciulionis leads Saint Mary’s in scoring this season, with 14.3 points and a team-high 6.1 assists, while Paulius Murauskas adds 12.7 points and a team-high 8.2 rebounds per game.

Portland Pilots Preview

The Portland Pilots have a 10-17 record this season and are sitting in 8th place in the West Coast. They are coming off an 89-78 win over Loyola Marymount. The Pilots are 12-13 against the spread, and 15-10 in over/under while having a 2-7 road record.

Offensively, Portland is averaging 72.1 points per game, which ranks 242nd in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 81 points per game (351st). The Pilots shoot 42.9% from the field (285th) and 34.1% from beyond the arc (175th). The Pilots shoot 77.9% from the free throw line (20th) and are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game (259th).

Max Mackinnon leads Portland in scoring this season, with an average of 14.1 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Austin Rapp adds 13.8 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 22 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 22 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Portland Pilots will win

  • Portland has won three of its last four games.
  • Portland has won the first half in three of its last four games against the West Coast Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Portland’s last 13 games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 139+ points.
  • Each of Saint Mary’s’ last eight games against Conference opponents at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Saint Mary’s ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.8%).
  • Saint Mary’s ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (60.5).
  • Portland ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.82).
  • Portland ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (10.3).

Portland Pilots vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction

Saint Mary’s has won their last 10 meetings against Portland, and are 7-0 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 3-1 in their 4 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Saint Mary’s won 81-58 on the road, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total.

In this Portland Pilots vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -25.5 home favorites. Saint Mary’s is rightfully favored, as they have a superior record, and have been almost perfect at home, with just one loss in their 15 home games. On the other hand, Portland has been terrible on the road, and has been dominated by Saint Mary’s over the recent years. I expect the hosts to take care of business like they already did once this season by 23 points on the road. Take the Saint Mary’s Gaels and lay the chalk at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Saint Mary's Gaels -25.5

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