Ole Miss vs Michigan State Prediction 3/28/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Michigan State prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 28th at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. 

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels are 24-11 (10-8) this year after they defeated Iowa State by a score of 91-78 in their last game. Ole Miss led 40-29 at halftime and poured in 51 points in the second half to seal the win. The Rebels shot 58.2% from the field, 57.9% on three pointers, and 76.2% on free throws in the game. Sean Pedulla led Ole Miss with 20 points and eight assists, while Jaemyn Brakefield added 19 points and two rebounds in the game. Ole Miss trailed in the first few minutes of the game, but they absolutely ran away from Iowa State with some very impressive shooting. 

Prior to that game, the Rebels defeated North Carolina by a score of 71-64, but did lose to Auburn by a score of 62-57 before that. Ole Miss has won five of their last seven games and they finished tied for sixth in the SEC standings with a 10-8 record. Ole Miss has scored 77.4 points per game and they have allowed 71.7 points against per game, while also averaging 33.1 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game this season. Sean Pedulla is averaging 15.2 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game, while Jaemyn Brakefield is averaging 11.1 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game this year. Ole Miss is shooting 44.2% from the field, 73.8% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 29-6 (17-3) this season after they defeated New Mexico by a score of 71-63 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 31-29 at halftime, but they scored 42 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Spartans shot 44.4% from the field, 26.7% on three pointers, and 67.9% on free throws in the game. Jaden Akins led MSU with 16 points and one rebound, while Tre Holloman added 14 points and four assists in the win. Michigan State had a ton of trouble in the first 10 minutes of the game, but they played outstanding defense the rest of the way and got a great effort from Fidler off of the bench. 

Prior to that game, the Spartans defeated Bryant by a score of 87-62, but did lose to Wisconsin by a score of 77-74 before that. Michigan State has won 10 of their last 11 games and they finished first in the Big Ten standings with a 17-3 record. Michigan State has scored 78.2 points per game and they have allowed 67.0 points against per game, while also averaging 40.1 rebounds and 16.7 assists per game this season. Jaden Akins is averaging 12.7 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while Jase Richardson is averaging 11.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game this year. Michigan State is shooting 46.1% from the field, 78.1% on free throws, and 30.8% on three pointers this season. 

Why Ole Miss will beat Michigan State 

• Ole Miss has won 26 of its last 28 games against non-Conference opponents.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Ole Miss’ last five night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154+ points.
• Six of Michigan State’s last eight NCAA Tournament night games have produced a total of 147+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.0).
• Michigan State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.9%).
• Ole Miss ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.66).
• Ole Miss ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.6).

David Racey is 131-69 (66%) in College Basketball over the last 30 days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Ole Miss vs Michigan State Prediction 

Michigan State rolls into this matchup after winning 10 of their last 11 games and running away with the Big Ten regular season title, but this will be the most athletic team they have faced in at least a few months. The Spartans started slow against Bryant and New Mexico last weekend, but can’t afford to do that here. Ole Miss was very competitive in the SEC this year and they shot the ball extremely well last weekend in their upset win against Iowa State. This should be a great matchup between two very good teams and I think either side can win, so I will take the points with Ole Miss, as I think the MSU three point shooting will be the deciding factor. 

David Racey's Pick: Ole Miss +3.5