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Old Dominion vs Troy Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Troy (20-10) vs Old Dominion (15-19)
March 8, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Troy -10.5 — Over/Under: 131.5
The Old Dominion Monarchs and Troy Trojans meet Saturday in the college basketball Sun Belt Quarterfinal at the Pensacola Bay Center. Here’s a Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs Old Dominion Pick.
Old Dominion Monarchs Betting PreviewÂ
The Old Dominion Monarchs are coming off wins over Louisiana, Texas State, and App State. ODU has won four straight games, one of its best stretches of the season.Â
The Old Dominion Monarchs are averaging 68.6 points on 39.8 percent shooting and allowing 73 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Sean Durugordon is averaging 15.3 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Robert Davis Jr. is averaging 15.6 points and 2.4 rebounds. Devin Ceaser is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden Johnson is dishing 3.6 assists. The Old Dominion Monarchs are shooting 28.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71 percent from the free throw line. The Old Dominion Monarchs are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.
Troy Trojans Betting PreviewÂ
The Troy Trojans are coming off wins over Coastal Carolina, Texas State, and Southern Miss. Troy enters the tournament with wins in five of its last six games.Â
The Troy Trojans are averaging 73.1 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 65.6 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Tayton Conerway is averaging 13.8 points and 5 assists, while Myles Rigsby is averaging 11.4 points and 4.1 rebounds. Thomas Dowd is dishing 1 assist and Jackson Fields is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Troy Trojans are shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free throw line. The Troy Trojans are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won five of its last six games against the Sun Belt Conference.
- Old Dominion has lost 18 of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Troy has won the first half in 18 of its last 23 night games.
Why the Old Dominion Monarchs will win
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- Old Dominion has won each of its last four night games.
- Troy has lost three of its last four games at Pensacola Bay Center.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (65.3).
- Troy ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.85).
- Old Dominion ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (45.0%).
- Old Dominion ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (29.1%).
Troy vs Old Dominion Injury Report
Neither Troy nor Old Dominion have a player listed on its injury report.
Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction
Give Old Dominion for getting this far, as it upset Texas State and App State, but this will be ODU’s fourth game in four days and at some point, those legs will be rubber. Troy is well rested and was playing great ball its last time out with wins in five of its last six tries. Troy has allowed 70 or fewer points in eight of its last nine games. Old Dominion will have to work for points in this one and it’s not easy when there’s been no rest. Troy is also 17-11 ATS on the season which includes covers in five of its last six games. Thick line, but oddsmakers are banking on Old Dominion breaking down physically. I’ll lay the points with Troy.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Troy -10.5
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