South Dakota State Jackrabbits forward Damon Wilkinson (34) passes the ball to a teammate during the second half against the Kansas City Roos on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026, at First Bank & Trust Arena in Brookings, South Dakota.
Samantha Laurey / Argus Leader / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

North Dakota vs South Dakota State Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP North Dakota Fighting Hawks South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Team Records 16-14 12-16
Spread +6.5 -110 -6.5 -110
Moneyline +225 -278
Total Over 151.5 (-110) Under 151.5 (-110)
Where First Bank & Trust Arena, Brookings, SD
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV Summit League Network

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks and South Dakota State Jackrabbits meet Saturday in college basketball action at the First Bank & Trust Arena. Here’s a North Dakota vs. South Dakota State prediction. This article will include a North Dakota vs. South Dakota State pick.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Betting Preview


The North Dakota Fighting Hawks lost to North Dakota State, beat Kansas City, and they play North Dakota State next. North Dakota has won 7 of its last 9 games.

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are averaging 80.1 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 79.9 points on 48 percent shooting. Greyson Uelmen is averaging 15.4 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Eli King is averaging 11.6 points and 2 assists. Garrett Anderson is the third double-digit scorer, and George Natsvlishvili is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 70.6 percent from the free throw line. The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits Betting Preview


The South Dakota State Jackrabbits beat Oral Roberts, lost to North Dakota State, and they play Kansas City next. South Dakota State has lost 11 of its last 16 games.

The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are averaging 78.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 75.3 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Damon Wilkinson is averaging 13.6 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Joe Sayler is averaging 13.6 points and 3.4 rebounds. Jaden Jackson is the third double-digit scorer, and Kalen Garry is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game.

Why the South Dakota State Jackrabbits will win

  • South Dakota State has won 32 of its last 34 home day games against the Summit League.
  • North Dakota has lost four of its last five road day games against the Summit League.
  • South Dakota State has won the first half in 14 of its last 18 games against North Dakota.

Why the North Dakota Fighting Hawks will win

  • North Dakota has won each of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • South Dakota State has lost four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of North Dakota’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at First Bank and Trust Arena have produced a total of 153+ points.
  • Six of South Dakota State’s last seven day games have produced a total of 152+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Dakota ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.4%).
  • North Dakota ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.2).

North Dakota vs South Dakota State Prediction


South Dakota State is getting love because it’s at home, but you can argue about a letdown spot after a game against North Dakota State. You can also argue North Dakota has had the better season up to this point. North Dakota is 7-3 SU and ATS in its last 10 games. We also saw North Dakota beat South Dakota State in overtime last month. North Dakota is 3-0 SU in the last 3 games against South Dakota State, cashing all 3 underdog tickets. North Dakota is 17-10 ATS on the season and has 7 road wins. This line feels disrespectful. Give me the points with the Fighting Hawks.

Randy Chambers's Pick: North Dakota +6.5

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