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Niagara vs Fairfield Prediction 1/22/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-13 | 11-9 |
| Spread | +9.5 -102 | -9.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | +410 | -550 |
| Total | Over 138.5 (-108) | Under 138.5 (-112) |
| Where | Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, CT | |
| When | Thursday, January 22, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Fairfield Stags Preview
Fairfield Stags have an 11-9 record this season and are in the 10th place of the MAAC. They have a 3-6 conference record and are coming off an 85-77 away win against Siena. Their previous three games were an 82-67 away loss against Marist, a 98-62 home win against Manhattan and a 68-62 home win against Rider.
Offensively, Fairfield averages 77.6 points per game, while allowing 74 points per game defensively. The Stags shoot with 43% from the field and grab 38.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 6.2 steals per game defensively.
Bryce Sparks leads Fairfield in scoring, with an average of 17.5 points per game, while shooting with 41.8% from the field and 85.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.4 assists. Bilal Benjamin is the team’s leading rebounder with 10 per game.
Niagara Purple Eagles Preview
Niagara Purple Eagles have a 5-13 record this season and are in the 12th place of the MAAC. They have a 2-6 conference record and are coming off a 68-58 home win against Mount St. Mary’s. Their previous three games were a 59-54 away win against Canisius, a 79-70 away loss against Manhattan and a 71-53 away loss against Iona.
Offensively, Niagara averages 62.9 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game defensively. The Purple Eagles shoot with 42% from the field and grab 28.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 5.5 steals per game defensively.
Javon Page leads Niagara in scoring, with an average of 12.7 points per game, while shooting with 41% from the field and 79.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.6 assists. Japhet Sabino is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.2 per game.
Niagara Purple Eagles @ Fairfield Stags Betting Trends: January 22, 2026
Why the Fairfield Stags will win
- Fairfield has won each of its last five night games at Leo D. Mahoney Arena following a road loss.
- Niagara has lost five of its last six road games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in seven of Fairfield’s last eight games.
Why the Niagara Purple Eagles will win
- Niagara has won four of its last five night games against Fairfield.
- Niagara has won the first half in each of its last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of Niagara’s last 20 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
- Five of Fairfield’s last six games have produced a total of 149+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fairfield ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.7%).
- Fairfield ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.6).
- Niagara has recorded the equal-longest road losing streak among Division 1 teams this season (9 games).
- Niagara ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (28.5).
Niagara vs Fairfield Prediction
In this Niagara vs Fairfield Prediction, Fairfield is coming as -11 home favorites. Wisconsin has been the better team this season with a better overall record and a very strong presence at their home court, while Niagara has been struggling on the road. Both teams have been in poor form lately, as Fairfield has back-to-back losses and its 1-3 against the spread in its last 4, while Niagara is 3-7 in its last 10 games and 1-4 against the spread. Niagara has been atrocious offensively so far this season, having a bottom-10 offense in the nation and scoring 14.8 points per game less than Fairfield, so I like the value with the home favorite in this matchup. Take Fairfield and lay the points.
