Pick details
| MATCHUP | Niagara Purple Eagles | Bowling Green Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Spread | +14.5 -105 | -14.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +950 | -1650 |
| Total | Over 145.5 (-108) | Under 145.5 (-112) |
| Where | Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH | |
| When | Thursday, November 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Niagara vs Bowling Green Prediction
Niagara hasn’t played much defense through two games, and it’s led to ugly losses and failed covers. I doubt things will improve on Thursday night. Bowling Green looks sharp offensively through two games and should be licking its chops for this matchup. Bowling Green is a top-15 team in both offensive field goal percentage and three-point percentage. While the season is still young, Niagara is 220th in defensive field goal percentage and 348th in defensive three-point percentage.
There’s nothing that suggests the Purple Eagles should have success in this spot. Bowling Green has also covered its first two games and is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. I’m going to lay the points with Bowling Green on Thursday night. Niagara looks awful up to this point.
Niagara Purple Eagles Betting Preview
The Niagara Purple Eagles lost to West Virginia and Morgan State, and they play Iowa State next. Niagara has lost 12 of its last 15 games. Niagara is 0-1 SU on the road, 0-1 SU at home, and 0-2 ATS on the season.
The Niagara Purple Eagles are averaging 56.5 points per game on 37.8 percent shooting and allowing 82 points per game on 42.7 percent shooting. Logan Woods is averaging 10 points and 2 assists per game. Ruey Ruey is averaging 10 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. Bastien Rieber is averaging 9 points and 2 assists per game. Tae Blackshear is averaging 6.5 points and 1 rebound per game. The Niagara Purple Eagles are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 61.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Niagara Purple Eagles are allowing 41.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26.5 rebounds per game.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons beat Georgia State and Cleveland State, and they play William & Mary next. Bowling Green has won 4 of its last 5 games. Bowling Green is 1-0 SU on the road, 1-0 SU at home, and 2-0 ATS on the season.
The Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 85.5 points per game on 54.5 percent shooting and allowing 76 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Zach Howell is averaging 20 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Josiah Shackelford is averaging 18.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Makhi Leach is averaging 17 points and 5 assists per game. Tristan Beckford is averaging 12 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. The Bowling Green Falcons are shooting 44.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Bowling Green Falcons are allowing 42.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- Niagara has lost 13 of its last 14 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has won each of its last four home games against non-Conference opponents.
- Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents at Stroh Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Niagara’s last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
- Eight of Bowling Green’s last nine games have produced a total of 146+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bowling Green ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (8.0).
- Bowling Green ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (64.5%).
- Niagara ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (78.9).
- Niagara ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (25.7%).
Randy Chambers's Pick: Bowling Green -14.5
