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New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Where | Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA | |
| When | Saturday, January 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
San Diego State Aztecs have a 12-4 record this season and are tied in the 2nd place of the Mountain West. They have an 8-1 home record and are coming off a 74-57 away win against Wyoming. Their previous three games were a 71-52 home win against Fresno State, a 73-68 away win against Nevada and a 110-107 home win against Boise State.
Offensively, San Diego State averages 81.9 points per game, while allowing 71.8 points per game defensively. The Aztecs shoot with 48% from the field and grab 37.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.8 assists per game. They average 4.7 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.
BJ Davis leads San Diego State in scoring, with an average of 11.8 points per game, while shooting with 43.4% from the field and 87.5% from the free throw line. Miles Heide is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.2 per game. Miles Byrd leads the team in assists with 2.8 per game.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico Lobos have a 14-3 record this season and are in the 3rd place of the Mountain West. They have a 3-2 road record and are coming off a 87-64 home win against Grand Canyon. Their previous three games were a 91-49 away win against Air Force, a 80-70 away win against Colorado State and a 78-58 home win against Wyoming.
Offensively, New Mexico averages 80.8 points per game, while allowing 66.2 points per game defensively. The Lobos shoot with 46% from the field and grab 37.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.
Jake Hall leads New Mexico in scoring, with an average of 14.6 points per game, while shooting with 46.4% from the field and 80.5% from the free throw line. Tomislav Buljan is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.5 per game. Deyton Albury leads the team in assists with 3.7 per game.
New Mexico Lobos @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: January 17, 2026
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last 17 games at Viejas Arena following a road win.
- New Mexico has lost each of its last four games at Viejas Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last eight games against Conference opponents at Viejas Arena.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last 13 day games.
- San Diego State has lost three of its last four day games against Conference opponents.
- New Mexico has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last nine day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Each of New Mexico’s last four day games have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction
In this New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction, San Diego State is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and have almost identical overall records. San Diego State has been almost perfect at home, while New Mexico above average on the road and both have been red-hot lately, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games each. This matchup is balanced from a side perspective so i see no value in either team, but with New Mexico having a top-20 defense in the whole country and San Diego State having gone under in its last three game, I have to go under 145 points in this one.
