Mar 23, 2025; Cleveland, OH, USA; New Mexico Lobos cheerleaders perform in the first half against the Michigan State Spartans during the NCAA Tournament Second Round at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New Mexico Lobos Air Force Falcons
Team Records 13-3 3-13
Where Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, CO
When Saturday, January 10, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV MWN

The New Mexico Lobos and the Air Force Falcons meet Saturday in college basketball action from Clune Arena. Here’s a New Mexico vs Air Force prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best New Mexico vs Air Force pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The Lobos were able to win their first three games this year before falling versus New Mexico State and Nebraska. New Mexico would hit a win streak over Mississippi State, Alabama State, New Mexico Highlands, Santa Clara, VCU, Florida Gulf Coast and San Jose State from there. After a loss to Boise State and wins over Wyoming and Colorado State, the Lobos had a 12-3 record in the books.

In their matchup with Colorado State on Tuesday, the Lobos were up by nine points at the break 39-30. New Mexico added another 41 points in the second half during an 80-70 road victory. Jake Hall was the top team scorer with 18 points, two rebounds and two assists. Both Antonio Chol (five rebounds; two assists) and Tajavis Miller (one rebound) added 11 points apiece as well.

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

Over on the Air Force side, they lost their first four games of the year before hitting a three-game win streak over Alabama State, SIU Edwardsville and IUPUI. The Falcons have since lost to Northern Colorado, South Dakota, Pacific, Navy, San Diego State, Wyoming, UNLV and Utah State in succession though. That gives the Falcons a rough 3-12 run through their first 15 games of the year.

In the Utah State matchup this week, the Falcons entered the second half with a 45-31 deficit. Air Force didn’t get any closer than that on a 54-31 run from there and took the blowout loss 99-62 in the end. Caleb Walker was the team’s top scorer with 12 points and six rebounds. Kam Sanders was the only other team player in double-digits with 11 points and four boards in the losing effort.

New Mexico Lobos @ Air Force Falcons Betting Trends: January 10, 2026

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

  • New Mexico has won each of its last 12 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Air Force has lost 29 of its last 30 games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • New Mexico has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against the Mountain West Conference.

New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction

I’ll lean toward New Mexico. The Lobos took care of a pretty good Colorado State team at Moby Arena in their last outing, shooting a nice 52.8 percent from the field and 44 percent (11-of-25) from 3-point range. New Mexico had just nine turnovers but didn’t fare too well from the line at only 13-of-23 (56.5 percent). That gives the Lobos a very agreeable 9-1 run over the last 10 games. They’ve scored 75 or more points in each of those wins as well.

As for Air Force, they’re coming off another rough loss to Utah State. The Falcons were out-rebounded 36-20 in that one and got outscored in the paint 48-30 while coughing up 12 turnovers and giving up 58.5 percent shooting on defense. Air Force has now lost eight games in a row while failing to score more than 65 points in any of those games. This is going to be another tough one for the Falcons.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New Mexico Lobos -18.5

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