New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Liberty Flames meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Liberty Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction.

New Mexico State Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to build on a 59-52 win over FIU last time out to improve to 11-6 on the year. After this game, New Mexico State will head home for a matchup with Kennesaw State.

Aggies Win 7th In A Row

Christian Cook leads the Aggies in scoring with 15.1 PPG while Peter Filipovity has 11.9 PPG with a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead New Mexico State in rebounding so far this season. Robert Carpenter has 11.5 PPG with 6.4 RPG while Zawdie Jackson has 11.3 PPG with a team-high 4.2 APG to lead the Aggies in the assist department and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for New Mexico State up to this point in the year. Dionte Bostick has also chipped in 8.7 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 1.3 SPG as well this season. As a team, New Mexico State is averaging 75.4 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 35.4% from three, and 67% from the foul line this season.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last seven games.
• Liberty has lost six of its last eight night games against the Conference USA.

Liberty Recap

The Liberty Flames come into this game looking to bounce back from a 72-70 loss to UTEP last time out to fall to 14-4 on the year. After this game, Liberty begins a road trip with a stop at FIU to take on the Panthers.

Flames Drop Back-To-Back Outings

Kaden Metheny leads the Flames in scoring with 13.8 PPG along with 2.4 RPG and 2.1 APG while Taelon Peter has 11.9 PPG with 3.2 RPG. Zach Cleveland has 11.1 PPG with a team-high 6.9 RPG and 5.1 APG to lead the Flames in rebounding and assists while Isaiah Ihnen has 10.4 PPG with 4.3 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Liberty up to this point in the year. Owen Aquino has 9.7 PPG with 6.9 RPG of his own along with 2.5 APG while Jayvon Maughmer has 9.3 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Colin Porter’s added 8.1 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 4.3 APG as well on the year. As a team, Liberty is averaging 78.9 PPG on 49.4% shooting from the field, 38.1% from three, and 65.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Liberty has won 36 of its last 41 games at Liberty Arena (Lynchburg).

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction

I’m on New Mexico State and the points here. I know it could feel a little bit suspect when you still see a team like Liberty favored like this on back-to-back losses against a red-hot Aggies team, but Jason Wooten has the Aggies playing really well in conference play to the point that they’re the best team in the conference in a lot of metrics on both ends of the floor. Liberty’s a solid team and I wouldn’t be surprised if they won this game, but I can see New Mexico making a game of this and making it a game where it comes down to the final shot. Give me New Mexico State and the points.