Mount St. Mary’s vs Iona Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers and the Iona Gaels meet Saturday in MAAC Tournament college basketball action from Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall. Here’s a Mount St. Mary’s vs Iona prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mount St. Mary’s vs Iona pick. We will examine: 

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers recent form and player performance

The Iona Gaels recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Iona Gaels

Recent betting trends in games played between Mount St. Mary’s and Iona

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mount St. Mary’s vs Iona game

Iona Gaels Betting Preview

The Gaels had a pretty miserable start to the season, but to their credit they’ve done much better since mid-January. Through 17 games this year Iona was sitting at a pretty miserable 5-12 overall record. The Gaels beat Canisius, Rider, Siena, Fairfield, Mount St. Mary’s and Marist over the next seven games though, before losses to Rider and Quinnipiac. Since then it’s been a 6-1 run for the Gaels with a lone loss to Merrimack among wins versus Manhattan, Niagara, Canisius, Sacred Heart, Manhattan and Quinnipiac again. That puts Iona above the .500 mark again with a 17-16 overall run so far this year. 

On Friday versus Quinnipiac, the Gaels went into the break with a 10-point lead. Iona finished with a 42-40 deficit but held on in the end for the win 81-73. Leading the charge was Dejour Reaves with 23 points, six rebounds, two steals and one block in 38 minutes on the floor. Adam Njie put up 21 points with six assists and three rebounds, while Yaphet Moundi doubled up on 17 points and 11 rebounds. Jalen Barr chipped in 11 points and five boards as well. 

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Mount St. Mary’s Betting Preview

Over on the Mount St. Mary’s side, they’ve had a couple of choppy runs this year but overall it hasn’t been too bad in the record column. The Mountaineers were sitting at 11-5 back on January 12, then took losses to Rider, Quinnipiac, Siena and Manhattan in succession. Mount St. Mary’s won six of their next seven games versus Merrimack, St. Peter’s, Niagara, Canisius, Saint Peter’s and Rider in succession before losses to Fairfield and Quinnipiac in the next three games. Since then it’s been wins over Marist (twice) and Merrimack in the last three outings, giving Mount St. Mary’s a 21-12 overall run through 33 games overall this year so far. 

Matched up against Merrimack, the Mountaineers held a slim 25-24 edge by the break. Mount St. Mary’s kept it going on a 32-31 run from there and ended up winning 57-55 in the end. Tops in scoring for the Mountaineers was Arlandus Keyes with 13 points and four rebounds in 29 minutes of work off the bench. 

Why the Iona Gaels will win

• Iona has won 24 of its last 27 games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Why the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers will win

• Mount St. Mary’s has won eight of its last 10 games against the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iona’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 136+ points.
• Five of Mount St. Mary’s’ last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Iona ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.0).
• Iona ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.9).
• Mount St. Mary’s ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (15.2).

Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction 

I’m probably going to take a stab on Iona. The Gaels notched a confident win over a better-on-paper Quinnipiac team on Friday, hitting 52.5 percent from the floor with a 38-29 rebounding advantage. Iona shot just 2-of-10 from outside however, and had 10 turnovers for 13 Bobcats points. Defensively, the Gaels gave up just 40.7 percent shooting in a solid all-around effort. Iona has five straight victories now, with 77 or more points scored in each of the last four. They’ve become something of a dangerous team. 

These two squads last met back on February 6 in a 70-67 overtime win for Iona on the road. The Gaels committed 16 turnovers for 17 Mountaineers points during a sloppy game (34 total turnovers). That said, it wasn’t too bad offensively for either side, so I like a pretty decent total in this tournament rematch. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Iona Gaels -3.5