Morehead State vs Western Illinois Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Morehead State Eagles and Western Illinois Leathernecks meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Western Hall. Here’s a Morehead State vs. Western Illinois prediction. This article will include a Morehead State vs. Western Illinois pick.

Morehead State Eagles Betting Preview

The Morehead State Eagles beat Tennessee State and Eastern Illinois, and they play Southern Indiana next. Morehead State has won 4 straight games.

The Morehead State Eagles are averaging 78.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 43.7 percent shooting. George Marshall is averaging 13 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Davion Cunningham is averaging 12.4 points and 4.2 rebounds. Jon Carroll is the third double-digit scorer, and Chase Dawson is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Morehead State Eagles are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Morehead State Eagles are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.

Western Illinois Leathernecks Betting Preview

The Western Illinois Leathernecks lost to Little Rock and Southern Indiana, and they play SIU Edwardsville next. Western Illinois has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

The Western Illinois Leathernecks are averaging 68 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 47 percent shooting. Lucas Lorenzen is averaging 15.5 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Isaiah Griffin is averaging 11.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Antwaun Massey is grabbing 3.5 rebounds, and Karyiek Dixon is dishing 0.7 assists. The Western Illinois Leathernecks are shooting 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free throw line. The Western Illinois Leathernecks are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Morehead State Eagles will win

• Western Illinois has lost each of its last eight day games against the Ohio Valley Conference.
• Morehead State has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Morehead State has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Western Illinois’ last eight home day games against the Ohio Valley Conference have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Ten of Morehead State’s last 11 road day games against the Ohio Valley Conference have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Western Illinois ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (49.9%).
• Western Illinois ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (45.6%).

Morehead State vs Western Illinois Prediction

The game a month ago was competitive, but Western Illinois has fallen off since, losing 9 of its last 10 games and not defending much. Western Illinois has also lost 9 games at home, so that doesn’t help either. Morehead State is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 games, making a last-second move in the OVC standings. With March approaching, this feels like two teams heading in different directions. I’ll lay the points with Morehead State on the road. Western Illinois is going nowhere fast.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Morehead State -8.5