Jan 13, 2026; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs guard Josh Hubbard (12) shoots as Alabama Crimson Tide center Noah Williamson (15) defends during the first half at Humphrey Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction 1/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Mississippi State Bulldogs Texas A&M Aggies
Team Records 10-8 14-4
Spread +8.5 -115 -8.5 -105
Moneyline +310 -395
Total Over 163.5 (-112) Under 163.5 (-108)
Where Reed Arena, College Station, TX
When Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Texas A&M Aggies meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Reed Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies prediction.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to shake off a 68-67 loss to Ole Miss last time out to sit at 10-8 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against Vanderbilt.

Bulldogs Drop 3 In A Row

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 22.8 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Epps has 15.6 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 6.7 PPG and a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 69.5% from the foul line this season.

Texas A&M Aggies Recap

The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 74-70 road win over Texas last time out to sit at 14-4 on the year. After this game, the Aggies will take on South Carolina at home.

Aggies Win 7 Of Last 8

Ruben Dominguez leads the Aggies in scoring with 13.7 PPG along with 2.3 RPG while Rashaun Agee has 13.3 PPG with 8.6 RPG to lead the Aggies in rebounding. Rylan Griffen has 10.7 PPG with 2.4 RPG with 2.9 APG as well and Marcus Hill has 11.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2 APG. Mackenzie Mgbako has 10.4 PPG with 4.9 RPG and Pop Isaacs has chipped in 10.3 PPG and 2.7 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Texas A&M so far this season. Josh Holloway has 6.2 PPG with 2.4 APG and Jacari Lane has 6.9 PPG and a team-high 3.3 APG as well on the year. As a team, Texas A&M is averaging 93.7 PPG on 48.5% shooting from the field, 37.4% from three and 74.5% from the foul line so far this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends: January 21, 2026


Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won each of its last eight games at Reed Arena.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last eight Wednesday road games against Conference opponents.
  • Texas A&M has won the first half in each of its last eight games at Reed Arena.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has won six of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between Mississippi State and Texas A&M have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
  • Fourteen of Mississippi State’s last 15 Wednesday road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M is one of five teams to rank in the top-10 for both points and assists per game this season.
  • Texas A&M ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (19.8).
  • Mississippi State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (65.2).
  • Mississippi State ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (41.0).

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction

I’m on the Aggies here. I frankly do not trust the Bulldogs at the best of times offensively and seeing how they lost that rivalry game against Ole Miss has me really concerned with the state of affairs for Mississippi State this season. I think that the Aggies are the far better team in far better form and it looks like Bucky McMillan has the ship steered in the right direction. Give me Texas A&M here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas A&M -8.5

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