Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and New Mexico Lobos meet Friday in the college basketball action at the T-Mobile Center. Here’s a Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs New Mexico Pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat SE Louisiana, lost to Kansas State, and they play New Orleans next. Mississippi State has lost 6 of its last 9 games.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 79.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 73.3 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 22.5 points and 4.8 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 11 points and 1.7 rebounds. Shawn Jones Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 2.3 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 72.6 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos lost to New Mexico State and Nebraska, and they play Alabama State next. New Mexico has split its last 8 games.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 74.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 67.6 points on 39.7 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 12.8 points and 2.4 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 11.6 points and 10 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 2 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 29.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 29.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• Mississippi State has lost each of its last three games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
• New Mexico has won seven of its last eight Friday games against non-Conference opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 10 of its last 11 Friday night games against non-Conference opponents.
• New Mexico has lost three of its last four night games played at neutral venues.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks T49th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.6).

Mississippi State vs New Mexico Prediction

I’m not excited to lay chalk with Mississippi State after what we saw yesterday, and the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS on the season. However, New Mexico didn’t play any better yesterday, and that doesn’t include an outright loss to New Mexico State. New Mexico has failed to cover 7 of its last 10 games overall. Mississippi State will still have the best player on the floor, and you have to believe this team is eager to rebound after such a sluggish performance. I expect a bounce back effort from Mississippi State, or this season could get away rather quickly. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Mississippi State -6.5