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Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Where | Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | SEC Network | |
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the Western Hall. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Kentucky Pick.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Oklahoma and Texas, and they play Alabama next. Mississippi State has won 6 straight games.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 80.8 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 75.8 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 23 points and 3.7 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 16 points and 2 rebounds. Quincy Ballard is grabbing 7.1 rebounds and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 1.6 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats lost to Alabama and Missouri, and they play LSU next. Kentucky has split its last 8 games.
The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 84.1 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 69.4 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 15.1 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Mouhamed Dioubate is averaging 11.2 points and 6.1 rebounds. Denzel Aberdeen is the third double-digit scorer and Jaland Lowe is dishing 2.8 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 30.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won 12 of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Kentucky has won the first half in 27 of its last 30 night games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Kentucky has lost each of its last four games against the Southeastern Conference.
- Mississippi State has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Kentucky’s last 10 games against the Southeastern Conference have produced a total of 159+ points.
- Seven of Mississippi State’s last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 156+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks T43rd among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.5).
- Kentucky ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+19.5).
- Mississippi State ranks 49th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.9%).
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction
This line makes absolutely no sense. Yes, Kentucky is the more talented team and Rupp is never an easy place to play. However, Kentucky hasn’t been good this season and has badly lost pretty much every game it’s played this season. I wouldn’t put Mississippi State in the same category as Gonzaga, UNC, and Alabama, as big game caliber, but we just saw this group lose to Missouri as a double-digit favorite. Kentucky isn’t good this season, and it’s about time people take notice. Also, Mississippi State is no slouch, mainly on the defensive side, and Hubbard is somebody capable of taking over. Double-digit favorite where? Give me the points.
