Oregon guard Jamari Phillips, left, is called for a foul as he knocks the ball away from Minnesota forward Bobby Durkin as the Oregon Ducks host the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Feb. 17, 2026, at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon.
Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Minnesota vs Indiana Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Minnesota Golden Gophers Indiana Hoosiers
Team Records 14-15 17-12
Spread +7.5 -110 -7.5 -110
Moneyline +250 -310
Total Over 138.5 (-105) Under 138.5 (-115)
Where Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN
When Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Time 06:30 PM EST
TV BTN

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota vs Indiana prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 4th at Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 14-15 (7-11) this season after they defeated UCLA by a score of 78-73 in their last game. Minnesota trailed 41-40 at halftime, but they held UCLA to just 32 points in the second half to get the win. The Golden Gophers shot 58% from the field, 52% on three pointers, and 89% on free throws in the game. Bobby Durkin led Minnesota with 23 points and three assists, while Cade Tyson added 21 points and three assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Minnesota lost to Michigan by a score of 77-67, but did beat Rutgers by a score of 80-61 before that. The Golden Gophers have scored 71.0 points per game with 31.6 rebounds and 17.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.2 points against per game this season. Cade Tyson is averaging 19.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Langston Reynolds is averaging 11.6 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Golden Gophers. Minnesota is shooting 46.1% from the field, 69.8% on free throws, and 34.8% on three pointers this season. 

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 17-12 (8-10) this year after they lost to Michigan State by a score of 77-64 in their last game. Indiana trailed 45-37 at halftime and only scored 27 points in the second half in the loss. The Hoosiers shot 39% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Lamar Wilkerson led Indiana with 29 points and one assist, while Tucker DeVries added 20 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Indiana lost to Northwestern by a score of 72-68 and Purdue by a score of 93-64. The Hoosiers have scored 78.8 points per game with 32.7 rebounds and 16.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.3 points against per game this season. Lamar Wilkerson is averaging 21.3 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Tucker DeVries is averaging 13.8 points and 5.1 rebounds per game for the Hoosiers. Indiana is shooting 46.9% from the field, 78.5% on free throws, and 34.6% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

  • Indiana has won each of its last nine games against Minnesota at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.
  • Minnesota has lost seven of its last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Minnesota has lost the first half in each of its last three games at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win

  • Indiana has lost each of its last four games against Conference opponents.
  • Minnesota has won three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Indiana’s last 15 night games against the Big Ten Conference at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall have produced a total of 139+ points.
  • Each of Minnesota’s last three games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141+ points.

Minnesota vs Indiana Prediction 

Indiana comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have scored 68 points or fewer in all four games. The Hoosiers are shooting 47% from the field this year and they have allowed 77+ in two of their last three. Minnesota has won three of their last four games, but they are just 1-2 in their last three road games. The Golden Gophers are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored 78+ in two of their last three. Indiana is really struggling right now, but I don’t trust Minnesota on the road. Take the Hoosiers here.

David Racey's Pick: Indiana -7.5

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