Feb 14, 2026; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Skyy Clark (55) is defended by Michigan Wolverines forward Morez Johnson Jr. (21) in the first half at Crisler Center. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction 2/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers
Team Records 24-1 21-4
Spread -2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Moneyline -148 +124
Total Over 156.5 (-105) Under 156.5 (-115)
Where Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
When Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Time 06:30 PM EST
TV Peacock

In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Purdue prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 17th at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 24-1 (14-1) this season after they defeated UCLA by a score of 86-56 in their last game. Michigan led 40-38 at halftime and they held UCLA to just 18 points in the second half in the lopsided win. The Wolverines shot 62% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 65% on free throws in the game. Yaxel Lendeborg led Michigan with 17 points and eight rebounds, while Morez Johnson Jr added 15 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Northwestern by a score of 87-75 and Ohio State by a score of 82-61. The Wolverines have scored 90.6 points per game with 41.6 rebounds and 19.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.3 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.4 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 13.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 51.4% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 35.4% on three pointers this season. 

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

The Purdue Boilermakers are 21-4 (11-3) this year after they defeated Iowa by a score of 78-57 in their last game. Purdue led 36-25 at halftime and they added 42 points in the second half in the win. The Boilermakers shot 47% from the field, 40% on three pointers, and 80% on free throws in the game. Gicarri Harris led Purdue with 14 points and five rebounds, while CJ Cox added 14 points and two rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Purdue defeated Nebraska by a score of 80-77 and Oregon by a score of 68-64. The Boilermakers have scored 82.6 points per game with 36.9 rebounds and 19.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.6 points against per game this season. Braden Smith is averaging 14.7 points and 8.9 assists per game, while Fletcher Loyer is averaging 13.5 points and 2.2 rebounds per game for the Boilermakers. Purdue is shooting 50.2% from the field, 73.9% on free throws, and 37.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

  • Purdue has won 31 of its last 32 night games at Mackey Arena.
  • Michigan has lost four of its last five night games at Mackey Arena.
  • Michigan has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games at Mackey Arena.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 12 night games as a top-3 AP-ranked team.
  • Purdue has lost four of its last five February games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-nine of Michigan’s last 33 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
  • Six of the last seven night games between Michigan and Purdue have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction 

Michigan comes into this matchup with just one loss on the season and they are ranked #1 in the country, but they will be on the road here. The Wolverines are shooting 51% from the field and they have scored at least 82 points in five straight. Purdue has won four games in a row, but they nearly lost to Nebraska and Oregon during that span. I am worried about Purdue’s recent form and I think Michigan has too many weapons for them to slow down. Take Michigan to win on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan ML

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