Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction 1/30/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Michigan State prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, January 30th at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 19-1 (9-1) this season after they defeated Nebraska by a score of 75-72 in their last game. Michigan trailed 50-48 at halftime, but they allowed just 22 points in the second half for the close win. The Wolverines shot 47% from the field, 23% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Morez Johnson Jr led Michigan with 17 points and 12 rebounds, while Trey McKenney added 11 points and three rebounds in the win.

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Ohio State by a score of 74-62 and Indiana by a score of 86-72. The Wolverines have scored 90.9 points per game with 42.0 rebounds and 19.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.8 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.2 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 13.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 51.5% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 34.5% on three pointers this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 19-2 (9-1) this year after they defeated Rutgers in overtime by a score of 88-79 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 37-28 at halftime, but they scored 45 points in the second half and 15 more in overtime for the win. The Spartans shot 49% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 92% on free throws in the game. Jeremy Fears Jr led MSU with 29 points and nine assists, while Coen Carr added 13 points and eight rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Maryland by a score of 91-48 and Oregon by a score of 68-52. The Spartans have scored 79.5 points per game with 41.4 rebounds and 18.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 63.5 points against per game this season. Jeremy Fears Jr is averaging 14.1 points and 8.9 assists per game, while Jaxon Kohler is averaging 13.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game for the Spartans. Michigan State is shooting 47.9% from the field, 73.9% on free throws, and 35.9% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won 21 of its last 22 January home games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
• Michigan has lost each of its last six games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center following a home win.
• Michigan State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last nine night games as a top-3 AP-ranked team.
• Michigan State has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 January night games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last nine games against the Big Ten Conference Conference at Jack Breslin Student Events Center have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
• Twelve of Michigan’s last 13 night games have produced a total of 146+ points.

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 9-1 record in conference play, so this is a big game for each side + it’s a huge rivalry. Michigan is shooting 52% from the field, but they were lucky to get by Nebraska in their last game and they haven’t been as good over their last five games. Michigan State is shooting 48% from the field, but they are elite on the defensive end of the court. If Michigan could play like they did in November, I would take them, but they are nowhere near that level right now. Take MSU to win at home.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan State ML