Mercyhurst vs Penn State Prediction 11/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Mercyhurst vs Penn State Prediction

In Mercyhurst vs Penn State Prediction, Penn State is coming as -20.5 home favorites. Penn State is looking to bounce back from its first defeat of the season and they are back home, where they have won both games this season. They have a superior offense, scoring almost 20 points per game more than Mercyhurst, who is coming off its first win of the season against inferior competition and has scored just 99 points in its two games against Division I teams, so they will have trouble catching up with Penn State’s offense. Take Penn State to win this one at home and cover the number.

Penn State Nittany Lions Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions have a 2-1 overall record and a 2-0 home record and a 0-1 neutral record. They are coming off a 76-82 neutral loss against Pittsburgh and will face New Haven and IU Indianapolis next.

Offensively, they are averaging 90 points per game, while allowing 77.3 points per game defensively. The Lions are shooting 48.2% from the field and 26.3% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 46.8% from the field and 28.6% from the 3-point range. They are shooting with a 81.6% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game and allow 28.7 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 14 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 16.3 assists per game. They average 2.7 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game, while committing 13 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 12.3 turnovers per game.

Roko Prkacin leads Penn State Nittany Lions in scoring, averaging 17.3 ppg on 83.3% shooting from the field. Josh Reed follows with 16 ppg on 50% shooting from the field. Ivan Juric follows with 15 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 12.7 rebounds per game. Roberts Blums leads the team in assists with 4 per game.

Mercyhurst Lakers Preview

The Mercyhurst Lakers have a 1-2 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 0-2 road record. They are coming off a 89-50 home win against Penn State Shenango and will face James Madison and Canisius next.

Offensively, they are averaging 62.7 points per game, while allowing 70.3 points per game defensively. The Lakers are shooting 39.6% from the field and 21.5% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 41.6% from the field and 31.1% from the 3-point range. They are shooting with a 81.8% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 34 rebounds per game and allow 36.3 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 14.7 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 15.7 assists per game. They average 5 blocks per game and 11.3 steals per game, while committing 14.3 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers per game.

Jake Lemelman leads Mercyhurst Lakers in scoring, averaging 15.7 ppg on 41% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6 assists per game. Geoff Sprouse follows with 9.3 ppg on 32.4% shooting from the field. Cameron Johnson follows with 9 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. Deraje Agbaosi leads the team in rebounds with 7.3 per game.

Mercyhurst Lakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends: November 12, 2026

Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

• Penn State has won each of its last 18 games against non-Conference opponents at Bryce Jordan Center.
• Mercyhurst has lost 14 of its last 15 road games against non-Conference opponents.
• Mercyhurst has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Mercyhurst Lakers will win

• Penn State has lost 17 of its last 22 games.

Matchup/League Facts

• Penn State ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.3).
• Penn State ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (81.6%).
• Mercyhurst ranks T32nd among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (11.3).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Penn State -20.5