Mercer guard Baraka Okojie (6) moves the ball while guarded by Tennessee guard Amaree Abram (77) in an NCAA college basketball game on November 3, 2025, in Knoxville, Tenn.
Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction 2/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Mercer Bears Chattanooga Mocs
Team Records 15-8 9-14
Spread -4.5 -112 +4.5 -108
Moneyline -238 +195
Total Over 154.5 (-115) Under 154.5 (-105)
Where McKenzie Arena, Chattanooga, TN
When Thursday, February 5, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Chattanooga Mocs Preview


The Chattanooga Mocs have a 9-14 overall record this season and a 3-7 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 75-70 away loss against Furman and their previous three games were an 81-55 home win against Wofford, a 75-64 away loss against Samford and a 67-66 home loss against East Tennessee State.

Offensively, Chattanooga averages 75.2 points per game, while allowing 73.3 points per game defensively. The Mocs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 33.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 5.9 steals per game defensively.

Jordan Frison leads Chattanooga in scoring, with an average of 14.7 points per game, while shooting with 52.2% from the field and 83.7% from the free throw line, also leading the team in assists with 3.9 per game. Tate Darner is the team’s leading rebounder with 4 per game.

Mercer Bears Preview


The Mercer Bears have a 15-8 overall record this season and a 7-3 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 95-81 home win against VMI and their previous three games were a 95-77 home win against UNC Greensboro, an 80-77 away loss against Wofford and an 88-76 home win against Western Carolina.

Offensively, Mercer averages 85.9 points per game, while allowing 75.6 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 47% from the field and grab 39.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.2 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.

Baraka Okojie leads Mercer in scoring, with an average of 18.8 points per game, while shooting with 42.7% from the field and 85.1% from the free throw line, also leading the team in assists with 5.8 per game. Armani Mighty is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.6 per game.

Mercer Bears @ Chattanooga Mocs Betting Trends: February 5, 2026


Why the Chattanooga Mocs will win

  • Chattanooga has won eight of its last nine games against Mercer.
  • Mercer has lost each of its last five games at McKenzie Arena.
  • Chattanooga has won the first half in seven of its last nine night games against Mercer.

Why the Mercer Bears will win

  • Mercer has won seven of its last eight games.
  • Chattanooga has lost each of its last four games.
  • Mercer has won the first half in each of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Chattanooga’s last six night games have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Mercer’s last eight games have produced a total of 157+ points.

Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction


In this Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction, Mercer is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Mercer has been the better team this season but have been below average on the road. They have been in very good form lately, as they are 7-1 in their last 8 games and 8-2 against the spread, while on the other hand, Chattanooga is 3-7 in its last 10 games. Mercer has been excellent against the spread throughout the season with a 16-4 ATS record and has the 13th-best offense in the entire nation, so I like them as road favorites in this spot. Take Mercer and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mercer -5.5

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