Massachusetts vs Bowling Green Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The UMass Minutemen and the Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college basketball action from Stroh Center. Here’s a UMass vs Bowling Green prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UMass vs Bowling Green pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

UMass Minutemen Betting Preview

The Minutemen got off to a 9-7 run in their first 16 games this year. UMass posted a nice 6-2 stretch over the next eight games, taking out Ball State, Western Michigan, Toledo, Buffalo, Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan in that time. It’s been losses to Coastal Carolina, Akron, Miami-OH, Buffalo and Ball State since then though, for a 15-14 overall record.

In the Ball State game on Tuesday the Minutemen were up 34-21 by the end of the first half. UMass was outscored 40-27 the rest of the way however and had to go to overtime. By the end of the extra period, the Minutemen had a tough loss on the road 74-73. Isaiah Placide was tops on 19 points with six rebounds while Leonardo Bettiol had 14 points with 14 rebounds.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

Over on the Bowling Green side, they were able to notch a 13-6 record over their first 19 games. The Falcons lost to Toledo, Buffalo, Central Michigan and Arkansas State in the next five games, then beat Northern Illinois and Toledo. Losses to Kent State, Miami-OH and Western Michigan came in the next three games for a 16-13 overall run in 29 games this year.

In the Western Michigan game on Tuesday the Falcons were sitting in the locker room with a 41-38 deficit. Bowling Green was outscored 47-41 the rest of the way in an 88-79 loss on the road. Leading the team in the losing effort was Sam Towns with 22 points and nine rebounds. Javontae Campbell put up 13 points with seven assists and four rebounds as well.

Massachusetts Minutemen @ Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Bowling Green has won seven of its last eight day games at Stroh Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Massachusetts has lost each of its last five road games following an overtime loss.

Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win

• Bowling Green has lost each of its last three games against Conference opponents.
• Massachusetts has won the first half in six of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

UMass vs Bowling Green Prediction

I’ll take a stab on Bowling Green. The Falcons didn’t play their best in a loss to Western Michigan this week, shooting 42.4 percent from the field with a 34-30 rebounding deficit. Bowling Green has lost three straight games now, giving up 78 or more points in each outing.

These teams last met up on January 3 in a 101-100 overtime road loss for the Falcons. In that one Bowling Green shot a nice 51.6 percent from the field but also gave up 56.1 percent on defense. The Falcons were outmuscled on the boards 35-27 but did a good job in the paint on a 48-38 advantage. This one should be a close game as well, but I like the Falcons to get a little revenge at home.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Bowling Green Falcons -5.5