Xavier Musketeers guard Dailyn Swain (3) dunks the ball in the first half of a college basketball game between the Xavier Musketeers and Siena Saints, Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2024, at Cintas Center in Cincinnati.
Frank Bowen IV/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Marist vs Xavier Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Marist (20-10) vs Xavier (22-12)

November 3, 2025 at 07:15 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Xavier -11.5 — Over/Under: +139.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Marist vs Xavier Prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, November 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Xavier Musketeers Preview

The Xavier Musketeers finished last season a 22-12 record and were placed 4th in the Big East with a 13-7 conference record. The Musketeers were 19-15-0 against the spread, and 16-17-1 in over/under, having a 15-2 home record and a 5-7 away record.

Offensively last season, Xavier scored 78.1 points per game, which ranked 73rd in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 71.6 points per game (167th). The Musketeers shot with 46.7% from the field (72nd), and with 39.1% from beyond the arc (5th). They shot with 78.9% from the free throw line (13th), and grabbed 33.3 rebounds per game (289th), while dishing out 16.7 assists per game (22nd) and committing 10.9 turnovers per game (102nd).

Zach Freemantle led Xavier in scoring last season, with an average of 16.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists. Ryan Conwell followed with 16.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, while Dailyn Swain added 11.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game.

Marist Red Foxes Preview

The Marist Red Foxes finished last season a 20-10 record and were placed 3rd in the MAAC with a 13-7 conference record. The Red Foxes were 11-19-0 against the spread, and 13-17-0 in over/under, having a 11-4 home record and a 9-5 away record.

Offensively last season, Marist scored 66.0 points per game, which ranked 349th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 64.5 points per game (17th). The Red Foxes shot with 44% from the field (218th), and with 31.4% from beyond the arc (313th). They shot with 70.8% from the free throw line (234th), and grabbed 36.0 rebounds per game (139th), while dishing out 14.0 assists per game (144th) and committing 11.9 turnovers per game (203rd).

Josh Pascarelli led Marist in scoring last season, with an average of 15.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists. Elijah Lewis followed with 11.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game, while Jackson Price added 9.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game.

Marist Red Foxes @ Xavier Musketeers Betting Trends: November 3, 2025

Why the Xavier Musketeers will win

  • Xavier has won each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents at Cintas Center.
  • Marist has lost each of its last five games.
  • Xavier has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents at Cintas Center.

Why the Marist Red Foxes will win

  • Marist has won seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Xavier has lost the first half in five of its last six night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Marist’s last 10 road games have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
  • Each of Xavier’s last 10 Monday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 140+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Xavier ranked T2nd for turnovers per game (6.0) in last season’s NCAA Tournament.
  • Xavier ranked 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage last season (39.1%).
  • Marist ranked 362nd among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game last season (12.8).
  • Marist ranked 13th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game last season (10.1).

Marist vs Xavier Prediction

In this Marist vs Xavier Prediction, Xavier is coming as -11.5 home favorites, with the total set at 139.5 points. Both teams had similar records last season, but Xavier has dominating at home, while Marist had trouble in covering spreads, as they were 11-19 ATS. Marist was a top-20 defensive team last season, but their offense was struggling, ranking on the bottom-8 of the country. Xavier had the edge on the glass, while Marist dished out more assists, so this feels like a coin flip game and I see no value on either side. Marist had just 130.5 average total points last season and I expect them to do enough on both ends on the floor to keep this game a low-scoring one. Take the under in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 139.5

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