Louisville vs Memphis Prediction 11/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Louisville vs Memphis Prediction

In this Louisville vs Memphis prediction, Louisville is coming in as -8.5 road favorites. Both teams have two wins this season but Louisville has been undefeated and currently ranked #10 in the entire nation, having both an elite offense and defense for a whopping +32 point differential. They will be facing a Memphis team that has been struggling offensively so far and has allowed 193 points in its last two games combined. The Cardinals dominated their previous meeting against the Tigers last season, winning by 26 points and I expect them to get away with another comfortable win on the road in this one and cover the number.

Memphis Tigers Preview

The Memphis Tigers have a 2-1 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 1-0 neutral record and a 0-1 road record. They are coming off an 81-105 road loss against Vanderbilt, following an 89-88 home win against VCU and an 80-76 neutral win against Iowa State, and will face Evansville and Penn State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 83.3 points per game, while allowing 89.7 points per game defensively. The Tigers are shooting 44.8% from the field and are making 7.7 three-pointers per game with a 37.7% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 49.7% from the field and 42.1% from the 3-point range. They are making 24.3 free throws per game and shooting with a 69.5% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game and allow 36 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 10 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 17.3 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game, while committing 9 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 11 turnovers per game. They commit 23 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.1.

Jayden Reid leads Memphis in scoring, averaging 23 ppg on 48.8% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 3.3 assists per game. Luke Almodovar follows with 15.3 ppg on 48.3% shooting from the field, adding 4.7 rebounds per game. Tylik Weeks follows with 13.3 ppg on 39.3% shooting from the field, adding 2.3 assists per game. Rihards Vavers follows with 12.3 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field, adding 4 rebounds per game. Corneilous Williams leads the team in rebounds with 6 per game.

Louisville Cardinals Preview

The Louisville Cardinals have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record. They are coming off a 107-57 home win against Morehead State, following an 84-70 home win against Chattanooga, and will face Stetson and Texas Tech next.

Offensively, they are averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 63.5 points per game defensively. The Cardinals are shooting 48.9% from the field and are making 11 three-pointers per game with a 30.1% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 38.3% from the field and 35.3% from the 3-point range. They are making 17.5 free throws per game and shooting with a 64.8% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 50.5 rebounds per game and allow 30.5 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 19 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 13.5 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 9.5 steals per game, while committing 8.5 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 13 turnovers per game. They commit 16.5 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.2.

Adrian Wooley leads Louisville in scoring, averaging 13.5 ppg on 52.6% shooting from the field, adding 4 rebounds per game. Flory Bidunga follows with 13 ppg on 75% shooting from the field, adding 8 rebounds per game. Obinna Ekezie Jr. follows with 12.5 ppg on 69.2% shooting from the field, adding 6.5 rebounds per game. Karter Knox leads the team in rebounds with 8.5 per game. Alvaro Folgueiras leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Betting Trends: November 15, 2026

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• Memphis has won five of its last six home games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Louisville Cardinals will win

• Louisville has won each of its last 16 November games as an AP-ranked team.
• Memphis has lost each of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Memphis has lost the first half in each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Memphis’ last six day games against AP-ranked opponents at FedExForum have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Each of Louisville’s last four games at FedExForum have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Memphis ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (24.3).
• Memphis ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).
• Louisville ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (50.5).
• Louisville ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (9.6%).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Louisville -8.5