Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Tennessee State (4-10) vs Arkansas-Little Rock (8-5)

January 4, 2025 at 04:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tennessee State -1 — Over/Under: 143.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Little Rock vs Tennessee State  Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 4th, at the Gentry Complex. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Trojans’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Tigers’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Little Rock

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tennessee State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Little Rock and Tennessee State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Trojans and Tigers. 

Little Rock Looks for Third Straight Win

Little Rock is playing well heading into this game and they have won two games in a row. Two games ago against SIU Edwardsville, Little Rock scored 60 points while the defense gave up only 56 points and that was the difference. In the last game against UT Martin, Little Rock scored 57 points and they ended up winning by a point. At halftime, they were down 32-22 but in the second half the defense gave only 24 points and that was enough for the win. Johnathan Lawson put up 14 points and six rebounds. Travonne Jackson also had a strong game putting up 12 points. 

Little Rock on the season is averaging 67.2 points while their defense is giving up 67.7 points per game. The offense is ranked  332nd while the defense is ranked 94th. Lawson is averaging 15.2 points while shooting 43.8 percent from the field and 41 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Little Rock Will Beat Tennessee State

  • Little Rock has won 12 of its last 13 games against Conference opponents.
  • Tennessee State has lost seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Tennessee State has lost the first half in four of its last five day games.

Tennessee State Fell Just Short 

Tennessee State in the last game faced off against Southeast Missouri State and they scored 65 points, but the defense gave up 67 points and that led to the defeat. In the first half the offense scored only 27 points, and in the second half, they couldn’t make enough winning plays to win the game. Josh Ogundele had a strong game putting up 17 points and five rebounds. Guard Brandon Weston also looked good putting up 10 points, five rebounds, and one assist. The offense really needs to do everything in its power to try and get out to a faster start. 

The Tigers on the season are averaging 79.3 points while their defense is giving up 75.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 97th in the league while the defense is ranked 293rd. One thing this team does excel at is rebounding. They are averaging 40.57 rebounds per game which is 5th in the league. Brandon Weston has been the top player averaging 17.7 points while shooting 45.1 percent from the field and 22.7 percent from behind the three-point line. There are three different players that are averaging at least 10.5 points per game. 

Why Tennessee State Will Beat Little Rock

  • Tennessee State has won seven of its last eight day games at Gentry Center following a home loss.
  • Little Rock has lost three of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Little Rock has lost the first half in six of its last seven road games.

Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction

Tennessee State is going to push the pace here, and that is going to lead to this game being higher scoring. Tennessee State is averaging 79.3 points per game, and they are going to put on an offensive show here. Little Rock is averaging only 67.2 points per game but against a terrible defense, they are going to have no issue running up the score here. This game is going to be a shootout and it will end up being a shootout. Back the over to cash here with ease. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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