Liberty vs Nevada Prediction 3/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Nevada Prediction for this NIT Tournament 2nd Round matchup on Saturday, March 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack have a 23-12 overall record and a 12-8 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off an 89-75 win against Murray State and their previous three games were a 79-66 loss against Utah State, an 84-80 win against Grand Canyon and an 80-45 win against Air Force.

Offensively, Nevada averages 76.3 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game defensively. The Wolf Pack shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Corey Camper Jr. leads Nevada in scoring, with an average of 17 points per game, while shooting with 46.1% from the field and 79.7% from the free throw line. Elijah Price is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.4 per game. Tayshawn Comer leads the team in assists with 3.5 per game.

Liberty Flames Preview

The Liberty Flames have a 26-7 overall record and a 17-3 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 77-71 road win against George Mason and their previous three games were a 77-69 loss against Missouri State, a 79-72 win against Sam Houston and a 76-71 loss against Louisiana Tech.

Offensively, Liberty averages 78.1 points per game, while allowing 70.4 points per game defensively. The Flames shoot with 51% from the field and grab 29.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.2 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively.

Brett Decker Jr. leads Liberty in scoring, with an average of 16.8 points per game, while shooting with 50% from the field and 83.6% from the free throw line. Zach Cleveland is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.6 per game, adding a team-high 6.8 assists.

Liberty Flames @ Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Trends: March 21, 2026

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

• Nevada has won each of its last nine games at Lawlor Events Center.
• Liberty has lost three of its last four night games.
• Nevada has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents at Lawlor Events Center.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Liberty has won 11 of its last 12 road games.
• Nevada has lost three of its last four night games following a home win.
• Liberty has won the first half in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Liberty’s last six games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nevada ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
• Nevada ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (25.8).
• Liberty ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (61.6%).
• Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (63.9%).

Liberty vs Nevada Prediction

In this Liberty vs Nevada Prediction, Nevada is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Liberty has a better overall record but has been below average lately with a 3-4 record in its last 7 games and 2-6 against the spread. On the flip side, Nevada is 4-1 in its last 5 games and 3-1 against the spread and have been very strong at home with a 16-2 straight up record and 10-7 ATS. It is a relatively big spread, but I expect Nevada to win this one comfortably and cover the -7.5 spread in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Nevada -7.5