Feb 17, 2026; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard Otega Oweh (00) reacts after a possession during the second half against the Georgia Bulldogs at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images
Jordan Prather-Imagn Images

Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers
Team Records 17-9 14-12
Where Neville Arena, Auburn, AL
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Neville Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kentucky Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers prediction.

Kentucky Wildcats Recap

The Kentucky Wildcats come into this game looking to shake off an 86-78 loss at the hands of Georgia last time out to sit at 17-9 this season. After this game, Kentucky will head on the road for a game against South Carolina.

Wildcats Lose Back-To-Back Games

Otega Oweh leads the Wildcats in scoring with 17 PPG along with 4.4 RPG and 2.5 APG while Denzel Aberdeen has 12.5 PPG with 2.4 RPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead Kentucky in assists as the only other double-digit scorer for Kentucky so far this season. Collin Chandler has 9.7 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Malachi Moreno has 8.5 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG and Mouhamed Diabate has 8.4 PPG with 5.4 RPG this season. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 81.6 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 34.9% from three and 72.4% from the foul line this season.

Auburn Tigers Recap

The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to shake off a 91-85 loss at the hands of Mississippi State last time out to sit at 14-12 this season. After this game, Auburn will head on the road for a game against Oklahoma.

Tigers Lose 5 In A Row

Keyshawn Hall leads the Tigers in scoring and rebounding with 20.7 PPG and 6.8 RPG along with 2.7 APG while Kevin Overton has 12.2 PPG with 3.3 RPG and Tahaad Pettiford has 14.7 PPG with a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Tigers in assists. KeShawn Murphy has 11 PPG with 7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year and Elyjah Freeman has 9.2 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Auburn is averaging 84 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 33% from three and 74.2% from the foul line this season.

Kentucky Wildcats @ Auburn Tigers Betting Trends: February 21, 2026

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

  • Auburn has won 27 of its last 28 night games at Neville Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Kentucky has lost three of its last four games at Neville Arena.
  • Auburn has won the first half in 35 of its last 36 games at Neville Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

  • Kentucky has won 19 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Auburn has lost each of its last five games.
  • Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last five road games against Auburn.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Auburn’s last eight games against Conference opponents at Neville Arena have produced a total of 160+ points.
  • Each of Kentucky’s last seven Saturday road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (20.7).
  • Auburn ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (27.8).
  • Kentucky ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.7).
  • Kentucky ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.55).

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers Prediction

I’m on Auburn here. I get the case to be made for Kentucky here, but the thing is that this line is telling given Auburn’s struggles as of late and I think the Tigers find a way to get the job done here. I’ve had a hard time backing Kentucky here and there on the road and I think Auburn picks up the win and cover here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Auburn -3.5

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